Evan Vasiliadis vs Dimitri Bagaric
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01 | Hard |
11 Dec 2025, 01:10
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dimitri Bagaric
Evan …: 37.9% Dimitri …: 62.1%
¿Por qué Dimitri Bagaric?
Evan …
W57-L11
84% WR
vs UTR 10.3
L1
Dimitri …
W10-L4
71% WR
vs UTR 10.6
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Evan … Dimitri … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 2.64 1.61 37.9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Evan Vasiliadis
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11.00 Junior
UTR Ranking #456
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Dimitri Bagaric
Ranking #-
UTR Ranking #558 Junior
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Evan Vasiliadis
Record 2025 57W - 11L (84%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 10.3
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Dimitri Bagaric
Record 2025 10W - 4L (71%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 10.6
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0.0000
rank_ratio 1.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.0000
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 0.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0000
surface_matches_ratio 0.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 0.0000
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50.0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 0.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.3000
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0.0000
first_serve_won_diff 0.0000
second_serve_won_diff 0.0000
bp_saved_diff 0.0000
bp_converted_diff 0.0000
aces_per_match_diff 0.0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.5000
last3_wr_diff -0.5000
momentum_p1 57.1429
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff -42.8571
weighted_momentum_diff -32.1429
current_streak_diff -1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 3.4590
serve_consistency_p2 1.3008
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -1.3800
utr_p1 0.3529
utr_p2 0.5153
utr_advantage -11.8054
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 0.5000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18750
API ID 15182864
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18750,
    "api_id": 15182864,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Evan Vasiliadis",
    "player2": "Dimitri Bagaric",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-11T01:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3788,
    "prob_p2": 0.6212,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6212,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 456,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 57,
      "utr_v4_losses": 11,
      "utr_v4_wr": 83.82352941176471,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.28,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luca CONNAUGHTON"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Baxter ERREY"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Lachlan KING"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Connor MCEVOY"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 6.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sonny Woodford"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:18.350471+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": 558,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 10,
      "utr_v4_losses": 4,
      "utr_v4_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.56,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Corey GAAL"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vincent Stouff"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Keizo Yoshii"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Liam Kindler"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jack Bassett"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:02.706445+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 456,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": 558,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.5152998472463096,
    "utr_diff": -1.3800487015936316,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.14285714285715,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -42.85714285714285,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -11.805353523490007,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.4589800443459,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 1.3008130081300777,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -32.14285714285714,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}