Harry (2002) Collins vs Dimitri Bagaric
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 01:30
10 Dec 2025, 01:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dimitri Bagaric
Harry …: 44.0%
Dimitri …: 56.0%
¿Por qué Dimitri Bagaric?
Harry …
W14-L6
70% WR
vs UTR 11.4
W6
Dimitri …
W10-L4
71% WR
vs UTR 10.6
W1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Harry … | Dimitri … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 2.27 | 1.78 | 44.0% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Harry (2002) Collins
Ranking
#-
UTR Ranking
#2585 General
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Dimitri Bagaric
Ranking
#-
UTR Ranking
#558 Junior
Forma L5
100% (2p)
Forma L10
100% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Harry (2002) Collins
Record 2025
14W - 6L (70%)
Racha
6W
UTR Oponentes
11.4
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
W
Dimitri Bagaric
Record 2025
10W - 4L (71%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
10.6
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Harry (2002) Collins en racha: 6 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 55.5556 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -44.4444 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -33.3333 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12.9461 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1.3008 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.9987 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.3978 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5153 | |
| utr_advantage | -8.4064 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
18753
API ID
15182890
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 18753,
"api_id": 15182890,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Harry (2002) Collins",
"player2": "Dimitri Bagaric",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-10T01:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4396,
"prob_p2": 0.5604,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5604,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": 2585,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 14,
"utr_v4_losses": 6,
"utr_v4_wr": 70.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.44,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Sam SIMMONDS"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Haruto Ishikawa"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Taisei Hata"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "YUKI KARATSU"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:35.825758+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": 558,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 10,
"utr_v4_losses": 4,
"utr_v4_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.56,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Corey GAAL"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Vincent Stouff"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Keizo Yoshii"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Liam Kindler"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Jack Bassett"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:02.706445+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": 2585,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": 558,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.397801079865301,
"utr_p2": 0.5152998472463096,
"utr_diff": -0.9987395227385729,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -44.44444444444444,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -8.406417914022962,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.946083769328512,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.3008130081300777,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -33.33333333333333,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}