Parth Aggarwal vs Noah Thurner
UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01 | Hard |
11 Dic 2025, 06:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Noah Thurner
Parth …: 46,3% Noah …: 53,7%
¿Por qué Noah Thurner?
UTR 11,93 vs 12,71 (-1,03) — Ligera ventaja
Parth …
W19-L27
41% WR
vs UTR 11,8
L4
Noah …
W36-L34
51% WR
vs UTR 12,7
L3
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Parth … Noah … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 5,50 1,13 18,2%
Gamdom 5,00 1,08 20,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,16 1,86 46,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Parth …: +29,3% Noah …: -29,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Parth Aggarwal
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,93 Pro
UTR Ranking #1965
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Noah Thurner
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #1375
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Parth Aggarwal
Record 2025 19W - 27L (41%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 11,8
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Noah Thurner
Record 2025 36W - 34L (51%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 12,7
Últimos 5:
L L L W L
Análisis Momentum
Noah Thurner ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,7 vs 11,8).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,5778
surface_matches_ratio 2,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 6,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 38,5710
first_serve_won_diff 51,6300
second_serve_won_diff 42,5200
bp_saved_diff 67,5000
bp_converted_diff 77,5000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 42,8571
momentum_diff -42,8571
weighted_momentum_diff -32,1429
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 0,9894
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,0300
utr_p1 0,4424
utr_p2 0,5635
utr_advantage -8,3910
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18809
API ID 15183645
Gamdom ID 507587
Torneo UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18809,
    "api_id": 15183645,
    "gamdom_id": 507587,
    "player1": "Parth Aggarwal",
    "player2": "Noah Thurner",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-11T02:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 5.5,
      "p2": 1.125
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.0,
      "p2": 1.08
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 5.75,
      "p2": 1.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4627,
    "prob_p2": 0.5373,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5373,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.93,
      "utr_ranking": 1965,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 19,
      "utr_v4_losses": 27,
      "utr_v4_wr": 41.30434782608695,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.84,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.63,
          "opponent_name": "Grigoriy Lomakin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.04,
          "opponent_name": "Jim Hendrikx"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.39,
          "opponent_name": "Alexey Aleshchev"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Raffael Gasanov"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Priyanshu Choudhary"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:08.494961+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.71,
      "utr_ranking": 1375,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 36,
      "utr_v4_losses": 34,
      "utr_v4_wr": 51.42857142857142,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.68,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.41,
          "opponent_name": "Dominik Palan"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.45,
          "opponent_name": "Karol Filar"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.7,
          "opponent_name": "Daniil Sarksian"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.11,
          "opponent_name": "Bang Shuo Yin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.2,
          "opponent_name": "Yuta Kawahashi"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:02.650059+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.93,
      "ranking": 1965,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.71,
      "ranking": 1375,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.44235294117647056,
    "utr_p2": 0.5635294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -1.0299999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 67.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -42.85714285714286,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -8.391038696537674,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 77.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 38.571,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 51.629999999999995,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 0.9894155545329042,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 6.666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 42.519999999999996,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -32.14285714285714,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.57777777777778,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}