Diana Marcinkevica vs Valentini Grammatikopoulou
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 16:00
10 Dec 2025, 16:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentini Grammatikopoulou
Diana …: 22.3%
Valentini …: 77.7%
¿Por qué Valentini Grammatikopoulou?
UTR 10.21 vs 11.10
(-0.89)
— Niveles similares
Diana …
W26-L35
43% WR
vs UTR 10.1
W3
Valentini …
Sin datos
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Diana … | Valentini … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3.75 | 1.25 | 26.7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4.49 | 1.29 | 22.3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Diana …: -2.7%
Valentini …: +2.7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Diana Marcinkevica
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10.21 Pro
UTR Ranking
#889
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Valentini Grammatikopoulou
Ranking
#455
UTR Rating
11.10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#414
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
3/9 = 33.3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Diana Marcinkevica
Record 2025
26W - 35L (43%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
10.1
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
W
Valentini Grammatikopoulou
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -45.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.9100 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.0943 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -123.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -357.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -33.3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4.5566 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37.3427 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -45.3211 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -56.6333 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -48.5333 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -35.1667 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -53.3556 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.2222 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 57.1429 | |
| momentum_diff | 42.8571 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 32.1429 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.3958 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3.1437 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.4550 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.2117 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.8900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.2600 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.3647 | |
| utr_advantage | -8.3529 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
18833
API ID
15184525
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 18833,
"api_id": 15184525,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Diana Marcinkevica",
"player2": "Valentini Grammatikopoulou",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-10T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.6,
"p2": 1.25
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2228,
"prob_p2": 0.7772,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7772,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.21,
"utr_ranking": 889,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 26,
"utr_v4_losses": 35,
"utr_v4_wr": 42.62295081967213,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.14,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.41,
"opponent_name": "Milana Maslenkova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "ALBA SALLES CANUDAS"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.14,
"opponent_name": "Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.19,
"opponent_name": "Alessandra Mazzola"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.34,
"opponent_name": "Isabella Harvison"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:01.571396+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 455,
"utr_singles": 11.1,
"utr_ranking": 414,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.21,
"ranking": 889,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.1,
"ranking": 414,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.2600000000000001,
"utr_p2": 0.36470588235294116,
"utr_diff": -0.8899999999999988,
"rank_ratio": 0.91,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
"points_diff": -123,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -35.166666666666664,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 42.85714285714285,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": -8.352885969028613,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -357,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.09431067947124129,
"rank_advantage": -45,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -33.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": -53.355555555555554,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": -45.32111111111111,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.2222222222222223,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -56.63333333333333,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.39580209895053,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.1436893157080426,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.34265734265735,
"second_serve_won_diff": -48.53333333333333,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 32.14285714285714,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.45499999999999996,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.21166666666666678,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.556643356643355,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}