Iulia Andreea Ionescu vs Valentini Grammatikopoulou
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07 | Hard |
11 Dic 2025, 18:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentini Grammatikopoulou
Iulia …: 20,3% Valentini …: 79,7%
¿Por qué Valentini Grammatikopoulou?
UTR 9,00 vs 11,08 (-1,10) — Ligera ventaja
Iulia …
W24-L35
41% WR
vs UTR 9,5
W6
Valentini …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Iulia … Valentini … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 7,50 1,07 13,3%
Gamdom 3,33 1,20 30,0%
IA Fair Odds 4,93 1,25 20,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Iulia …: +7,8% Valentini …: -7,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iulia Andreea Ionescu
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #2374
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Valentini Grammatikopoulou
Ranking #461
UTR Rating 11,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #454
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Iulia Andreea Ionescu
Record 2025 24W - 35L (41%)
Racha 6W
UTR Oponentes 9,5
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Valentini Grammatikopoulou
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -45,0000
rank_ratio 0,9100
log_rank_ratio -0,0943
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -123,0000
best_rank_diff -357,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -33,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,5566
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,3427
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,3600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -45,3211
first_serve_won_diff -56,6333
second_serve_won_diff -48,5333
bp_saved_diff -35,1667
bp_converted_diff -53,3556
aces_per_match_diff -1,2222
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 57,1429
momentum_diff -57,1429
weighted_momentum_diff -42,8571
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 8,3958
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,1437
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4550
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2117
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,1000
utr_p1 0,2353
utr_p2 0,3647
utr_advantage -10,4265
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18837
API ID 15184526
Gamdom ID 508220
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18837,
    "api_id": 15184526,
    "gamdom_id": 508220,
    "player1": "Iulia Andreea Ionescu",
    "player2": "Valentini Grammatikopoulou",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-11T14:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 7.5,
      "p2": 1.0714285714285714
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.33,
      "p2": 1.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 7.75,
      "p2": 1.07
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2028,
    "prob_p2": 0.7972,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7972,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2374,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 24,
      "utr_v4_losses": 35,
      "utr_v4_wr": 40.67796610169492,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.54,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.16,
          "opponent_name": "Laia Petretic"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ashleigh Simes"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Noelani Sara Teso"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.53,
          "opponent_name": "Karla Popovic"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Zainab Williams"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:44.153627+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 461,
      "utr_singles": 11.08,
      "utr_ranking": 454,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 2374,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.08,
      "ranking": 454,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.36470588235294116,
    "utr_diff": -1.0999999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 0.91,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
    "points_diff": -123,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -35.166666666666664,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -57.14285714285715,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": -10.426540284360184,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -357,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.09431067947124129,
    "rank_advantage": -45,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -33.33333333333333,
    "bp_converted_diff": -53.355555555555554,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": -45.32111111111111,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.2222222222222223,
    "combined_confidence": 0.36,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -56.63333333333333,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.39580209895053,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.1436893157080426,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.34265734265735,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -48.53333333333333,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -42.85714285714286,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.45499999999999996,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.21166666666666678,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.556643356643355,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}