Marcelina Podlinska vs Rita Freitas
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 17:30
10 Dec 2025, 17:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marcelina Podlinska
Marcelina …: 63.5%
Rita …: 36.5%
¿Por qué Marcelina Podlinska?
Marcelina …
W43-L25
63% WR
vs UTR 10.3
L1
Rita …
W8-L2
80% WR
vs UTR 8.0
W1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marcelina … | Rita … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1.06 | 8.00 | 94.1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1.58 | 2.74 | 63.5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Marcelina …: -24.8%
Rita …: +24.8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marcelina Podlinska
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10.68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#651
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Rita Freitas
Ranking
#-
UTR Ranking
#3296 General
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Marcelina Podlinska
Record 2025
43W - 25L (63%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
10.3
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Rita Freitas
Record 2025
8W - 2L (80%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
8.0
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Marcelina Podlinska ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 10.3 vs 8.0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 50.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.5430 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.3153 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.3792 | |
| utr_advantage | -4.9584 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
18854
API ID
15184520
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 18854,
"api_id": 15184520,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Marcelina Podlinska",
"player2": "Rita Freitas",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-10T17:30:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0625,
"p2": 8.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.04,
"p2": 9.4
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6346,
"prob_p2": 0.3654,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6346,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.68,
"utr_ranking": 651,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 43,
"utr_v4_losses": 25,
"utr_v4_wr": 63.23529411764706,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.33,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.24,
"opponent_name": "Sofya Lansere"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.25,
"opponent_name": "Mariia Bergen"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.54,
"opponent_name": "Mika Stojsavljevic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.66,
"opponent_name": "Tyra Caterina Grant"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Alexa Karatancheva"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:32.449453+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": 3296,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 8,
"utr_v4_losses": 2,
"utr_v4_wr": 80.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.0,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 5.0,
"opponent_name": "Renata Utorova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Ekaterina Komarova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Ekaterina Afanasieva"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Stephanie Nadine Lautenschlaeger"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Eva Jaekel"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:20.612614+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.68,
"ranking": 651,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": 3296,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3152941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.3791787288779274,
"utr_diff": -0.5430191954623833,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -4.9583958322501935,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 50.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}