Marcelina Podlinska vs Rita Freitas
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07 | Hard |
11 Dic 2025, 17:10
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marcelina Podlinska
Marcelina …: 63,5% Rita …: 36,5%
¿Por qué Marcelina Podlinska?
Marcelina …
W43-L25
63% WR
vs UTR 10,3
L1
Rita …
W8-L2
80% WR
vs UTR 8,0
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Marcelina … Rita … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,06 8,00 94,1%
Gamdom 1,52 2,11 65,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,58 2,74 63,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Marcelina …: -24,8% Rita …: +24,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marcelina Podlinska
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,55 Pro
UTR Ranking #763
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Rita Freitas
Ranking #-
UTR Ranking #3698 General
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Marcelina Podlinska
Record 2025 43W - 25L (63%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 10,3
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Rita Freitas
Record 2025 8W - 2L (80%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 8,0
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Análisis Momentum
Marcelina Podlinska ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 10,3 vs 8,0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,5000
last3_wr_diff 0,5000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 50,0000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5430
utr_p1 0,3153
utr_p2 0,3792
utr_advantage -4,9584
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18854
API ID 15184520
Gamdom ID 508203
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18854,
    "api_id": 15184520,
    "gamdom_id": 508203,
    "player1": "Marcelina Podlinska",
    "player2": "Rita Freitas",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-11T13:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0625,
      "p2": 8.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.52,
      "p2": 2.11
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 8.05
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6346,
    "prob_p2": 0.3654,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6346,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.55,
      "utr_ranking": 763,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 43,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 63.23529411764706,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.33,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.24,
          "opponent_name": "Sofya Lansere"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.25,
          "opponent_name": "Mariia Bergen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.54,
          "opponent_name": "Mika Stojsavljevic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.66,
          "opponent_name": "Tyra Caterina Grant"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alexa Karatancheva"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:32.449453+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": 3698,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 8,
      "utr_v4_losses": 2,
      "utr_v4_wr": 80.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.0,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 5.0,
          "opponent_name": "Renata Utorova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ekaterina Komarova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ekaterina Afanasieva"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Stephanie Nadine Lautenschlaeger"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eva Jaekel"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:20.612614+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.55,
      "ranking": 763,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": 3698,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3152941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.3791787288779274,
    "utr_diff": -0.5430191954623833,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 100.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -4.9583958322501935,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 50.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}