Mariia Hlahola vs Rita Freitas
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 11:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rita Freitas
Mariia …: 48.5% Rita …: 51.5%
¿Por qué Rita Freitas?
Mariia …
W28-L28
50% WR
vs UTR 9.4
W1
Rita …
W8-L2
80% WR
vs UTR 8.0
W1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mariia … Rita … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1.36 3.00 73.3%
IA Fair Odds 2.06 1.94 48.5%
Edge vs Mercado: Mariia …: -20.3% Rita …: +20.3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mariia Hlahola
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9.00 General
UTR Ranking #2358
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Rita Freitas
Ranking #-
UTR Ranking #3296 General
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mariia Hlahola
Record 2025 28W - 28L (50%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9.4
Últimos 5:
W L L W W
Rita Freitas
Record 2025 8W - 2L (80%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 8.0
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Análisis Momentum
Mariia Hlahola ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9.4 vs 8.0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0.0000
rank_ratio 1.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.0000
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 0.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0000
surface_matches_ratio 0.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 0.0000
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50.0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 0.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.3000
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0.0000
first_serve_won_diff 0.0000
second_serve_won_diff 0.0000
bp_saved_diff 0.0000
bp_converted_diff 0.0000
aces_per_match_diff 0.0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.5000
last3_wr_diff -0.5000
momentum_p1 0.0000
momentum_p2 50.0000
momentum_diff -50.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -25.0000
current_streak_diff -1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 0.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 10.0000
serve_consistency_p2 10.0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -2.2230
utr_p1 0.1176
utr_p2 0.3792
utr_advantage -21.9850
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 0.5000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18858
API ID 15184522
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18858,
    "api_id": 15184522,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Mariia Hlahola",
    "player2": "Rita Freitas",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-10T11:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3636363636363638,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 3.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.485,
    "prob_p2": 0.515,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.515,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2358,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 28,
      "utr_v4_losses": 28,
      "utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.44,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Charlotte Ruud"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sara Suchankova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Allie Bittner"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alessandra Teodosescu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.85,
          "opponent_name": "Rinon Okuwaki"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:36.624313+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": 3296,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 8,
      "utr_v4_losses": 2,
      "utr_v4_wr": 80.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.0,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 5.0,
          "opponent_name": "Renata Utorova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ekaterina Komarova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ekaterina Afanasieva"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Stephanie Nadine Lautenschlaeger"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eva Jaekel"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:20.612614+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 2358,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": 3296,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.3791787288779274,
    "utr_diff": -2.223019195462383,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -21.985037683801252,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}