Karla Popovic vs Anastasiia Firman
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07 | Hard |
13 Dic 2025, 17:10
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasiia Firman
Karla …: 28,7% Anastasiia …: 71,4%
¿Por qué Anastasiia Firman?
UTR 9,67 vs 10,41 (-0,89) — Niveles similares
Karla …
W10-L10
50% WR
vs UTR 9,2
L6
Anastasiia …
W42-L26
62% WR
vs UTR 9,9
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Karla … Anastasiia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 6,50 1,10 15,4%
Gamdom 5,19 1,06 19,3%
IA Fair Odds 3,49 1,40 28,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Karla …: +14,2% Anastasiia …: -14,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karla Popovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,67 Pro
UTR Ranking #1208
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Anastasiia Firman
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #848
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Karla Popovic
Record 2025 10W - 10L (50%)
Racha 6L
UTR Oponentes 9,2
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Anastasiia Firman
Record 2025 42W - 26L (62%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9,9
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -1,0000
last3_wr_diff -1,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -100,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -75,0000
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,8900
utr_p1 0,1788
utr_p2 0,2835
utr_advantage -8,9313
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18870
API ID 15184513
Gamdom ID 508234
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18870,
    "api_id": 15184513,
    "gamdom_id": 508234,
    "player1": "Karla Popovic",
    "player2": "Anastasiia Firman",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-13T13:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 6.5,
      "p2": 1.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.19,
      "p2": 1.06
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 5.51,
      "p2": 1.12
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2865,
    "prob_p2": 0.7135,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7135,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.67,
      "utr_ranking": 1208,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 10,
      "utr_v4_losses": 10,
      "utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.23,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eva Busaad"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.33,
          "opponent_name": "Daria Yesypchuk"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.68,
          "opponent_name": "Mirjana Jovanovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vera Zvonareva"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nina KRUIJER"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:05.725025+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.41,
      "utr_ranking": 848,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 42,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.76470588235294,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.85,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.8,
          "opponent_name": "Nicole Gadient"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.54,
          "opponent_name": "Laura Mair"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.32,
          "opponent_name": "Hanna Bougouffa"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.22,
          "opponent_name": "Josy Daems"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.68,
          "opponent_name": "Lena Thomas Iglesias"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:20.149741+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.67,
      "ranking": 1208,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.41,
      "ranking": 848,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.17882352941176466,
    "utr_p2": 0.2835294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.8900000000000006,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -100.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -8.931259407927753,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -75.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}