Valentina Ivanov vs Mahta Khanloo
UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01 | Hard |
11 Dic 2025, 08:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentina Ivanov
Valentina …: 80,9% Mahta …: 19,1%
¿Por qué Valentina Ivanov?
UTR 10,48 vs 9,00 (+2,45) — Ventaja clara
Valentina …
W32-L23
58% WR
vs UTR 10,1
W1
Mahta …
W12-L12
50% WR
vs UTR 8,4
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Valentina … Mahta … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,05 8,50 95,2%
Gamdom 1,02 6,37 98,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,24 5,24 80,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Valentina …: -8,1% Mahta …: +8,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Valentina Ivanov
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #795
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Mahta Khanloo
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #3632
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Valentina Ivanov
Record 2025 32W - 23L (58%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 10,1
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Mahta Khanloo
Record 2025 12W - 12L (50%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 8,4
Últimos 5:
L W L W L
Análisis Momentum
Valentina Ivanov ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 10,1 vs 8,4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12,9630
surface_matches_ratio 5,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 11,1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 5,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3667
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 52,0083
first_serve_won_diff 61,8775
second_serve_won_diff 64,0650
bp_saved_diff 23,9000
bp_converted_diff 49,7375
aces_per_match_diff 0,9250
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2500
last3_wr_diff 0,5000
momentum_p1 91,8367
momentum_p2 57,1429
momentum_diff 34,6939
weighted_momentum_diff 26,1429
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,6559
serve_consistency_p2 8,0952
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 2,4500
utr_p1 0,2882
utr_p2 0,0000
utr_advantage 26,5583
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18903
API ID 15182932
Gamdom ID 507505
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18903,
    "api_id": 15182932,
    "gamdom_id": 507505,
    "player1": "Valentina Ivanov",
    "player2": "Mahta Khanloo",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-11T04:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 8.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 6.37
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.05,
      "p2": 8.72
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.809,
    "prob_p2": 0.191,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.809,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.48,
      "utr_ranking": 795,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 32,
      "utr_v4_losses": 23,
      "utr_v4_wr": 58.18181818181818,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.06,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.11,
          "opponent_name": "Jelena Cvijanovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.86,
          "opponent_name": "Yuliia Starodubtseva"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Christina Dodaj"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.96,
          "opponent_name": "Nagi Hanatani"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.39,
          "opponent_name": "Gaeul Jang"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:54.001184+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3632,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 12,
      "utr_v4_losses": 12,
      "utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.38,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Shanelle Iaconi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jessie culley"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Anja DOKIC"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vesna Marinkov"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.62,
          "opponent_name": "Shiho Tsujioka"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:30.530365+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.48,
      "ranking": 795,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 3632,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.288235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 2.4499999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 91.83673469387755,
    "momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 23.9,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.25,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 34.69387755102039,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 26.55826558265582,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 49.7375,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 52.00825,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.9249999999999999,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 61.8775,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.655948633128586,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.095238095238095,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 11.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 64.065,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 26.14285714285714,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.962962962962962,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}