Valentina Ivanov vs Mahta Khanloo
UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01 | Hard |
11 Dec 2025, 03:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentina Ivanov
Valentina …: 80.9% Mahta …: 19.1%
¿Por qué Valentina Ivanov?
UTR 10.45 vs 8.00 (+2.45) — Ventaja clara
Valentina …
W32-L23
58% WR
vs UTR 10.1
W1
Mahta …
W12-L12
50% WR
vs UTR 8.4
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Valentina … Mahta … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1.24 5.24 80.9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Valentina Ivanov
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10.45 Pro
UTR Ranking #777
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 0/5 = 0.0%
Mahta Khanloo
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 8.00 General
UTR Ranking #4984
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Valentina Ivanov
Record 2025 32W - 23L (58%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 10.1
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Mahta Khanloo
Record 2025 12W - 12L (50%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 8.4
Últimos 5:
L W L W L
Análisis Momentum
Valentina Ivanov ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 10.1 vs 8.4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0.0000
rank_ratio 1.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.0000
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 0.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12.9630
surface_matches_ratio 5.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 0.0000
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 11.1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 5.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance -1.0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.3667
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.3333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 52.0083
first_serve_won_diff 61.8775
second_serve_won_diff 64.0650
bp_saved_diff 23.9000
bp_converted_diff 49.7375
aces_per_match_diff 0.9250
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2500
last3_wr_diff 0.5000
momentum_p1 91.8367
momentum_p2 57.1429
momentum_diff 34.6939
weighted_momentum_diff 26.1429
current_streak_diff 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3.0000
match_load_p1 3.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 8.6559
serve_consistency_p2 8.0952
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 2.4500
utr_p1 0.2882
utr_p2 0.0000
utr_advantage 26.5583
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18903
API ID 15182932
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18903,
    "api_id": 15182932,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Valentina Ivanov",
    "player2": "Mahta Khanloo",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-11T03:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.809,
    "prob_p2": 0.191,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.809,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.45,
      "utr_ranking": 777,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 32,
      "utr_v4_losses": 23,
      "utr_v4_wr": 58.18181818181818,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.06,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.11,
          "opponent_name": "Jelena Cvijanovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.86,
          "opponent_name": "Yuliia Starodubtseva"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Christina Dodaj"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.96,
          "opponent_name": "Nagi Hanatani"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.39,
          "opponent_name": "Gaeul Jang"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:54.001184+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 8.0,
      "utr_ranking": 4984,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 12,
      "utr_v4_losses": 12,
      "utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.38,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Shanelle Iaconi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jessie culley"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Anja DOKIC"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vesna Marinkov"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.62,
          "opponent_name": "Shiho Tsujioka"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:30.530365+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.45,
      "ranking": 777,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 8.0,
      "ranking": 4984,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.288235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 2.4499999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 91.83673469387755,
    "momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 23.9,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.25,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 34.69387755102039,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 26.55826558265582,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 49.7375,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 52.00825,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.9249999999999999,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 61.8775,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.655948633128586,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.095238095238095,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 11.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 64.065,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 26.14285714285714,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.962962962962962,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}