Arabelle Mancini vs Piper Freeman
UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01 | Hard |
11 Dec 2025, 01:10
11 Dec 2025, 01:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arabelle Mancini
Arabelle …: 50.2%
Piper …: 49.8%
¿Por qué Arabelle Mancini?
UTR 8.00 vs 8.00
— Niveles similares
Arabelle …
W60-L29
67% WR
vs UTR 7.8
L1
Piper …
W10-L20
33% WR
vs UTR 8.1
L2
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Arabelle … | Piper … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1.99 | 2.01 | 50.2% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arabelle Mancini
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
8.00 Junior
UTR Ranking
#1326
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Piper Freeman
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
8.00 General
UTR Ranking
#8230
Forma L5
0% (3p)
Forma L10
0% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Arabelle Mancini
Record 2025
60W - 29L (67%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
7.8
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
W
Piper Freeman
Record 2025
10W - 20L (33%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
8.1
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Piper Freeman ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 8.1 vs 7.8).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 57.1429 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 57.1429 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 42.8571 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.9113 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.9048 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
18918
API ID
15182939
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 18918,
"api_id": 15182939,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Arabelle Mancini",
"player2": "Piper Freeman",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-11T01:10:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5016,
"prob_p2": 0.4984,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5016,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 8.0,
"utr_ranking": 1326,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 60,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 67.41573033707866,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 7.75,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Scarlett DATTOLI"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 7.0,
"opponent_name": "Hazel KADERA"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Emilie CHEN"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Dayna Harrison"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Aimee Jin"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:28.578964+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 8.0,
"utr_ranking": 8230,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 10,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.06,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.57,
"opponent_name": "Gurmanat Kaur Sandhu"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Shanelle Iaconi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 7.0,
"opponent_name": "Olivia Quigley"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.33,
"opponent_name": "Paola Lopez"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Emilie CHEN"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:13.841403+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 8.0,
"ranking": 1326,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 8.0,
"ranking": 8230,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.0,
"utr_p2": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.14285714285715,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 57.14285714285715,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.911330049261089,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.9047619047619015,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 42.85714285714286,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}