Alexander Kotzen vs Danny Yassine
UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05 | Hard |
09 Dec 2025, 20:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Kotzen
Alexander …: 84.2% Danny …: 15.8%
¿Por qué Alexander Kotzen?
UTR 13.75 vs 11.00 (+2.75) — Ventaja clara
Alexander …
W48-L20
71% WR
vs UTR 12.9
L1
Danny …
W15-L19
44% WR
vs UTR 11.1
W1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Danny … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1.01 15.00 99.0%
IA Fair Odds 1.19 6.34 84.2%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: -9.5% Danny …: +9.5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Kotzen
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13.75 Pro
UTR Ranking #516
Forma L5 100% (2p)
Forma L10 100% (2p)
WR Hard 2/5 = 40.0%
Danny Yassine
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11.00 General
UTR Ranking #5944
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alexander Kotzen
Record 2025 48W - 20L (71%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12.9
Últimos 5:
L W L L W
Danny Yassine
Record 2025 15W - 19L (44%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11.1
Últimos 5:
W L L W W
Análisis Momentum
Alexander Kotzen ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12.9 vs 11.1).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0.0000
rank_ratio 1.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.0000
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 0.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 20.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5.9259
surface_matches_ratio 5.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1.0000
surface_wr_p1 20.0000
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 32.2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 5.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.3667
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.3333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 59.3845
first_serve_won_diff 68.7550
second_serve_won_diff 58.6900
bp_saved_diff 71.6400
bp_converted_diff 15.0000
aces_per_match_diff 3.7000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 1.0000
last3_wr_diff 1.0000
momentum_p1 100.0000
momentum_p2 0.0000
momentum_diff 100.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 75.0000
current_streak_diff 4.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 4.3004
serve_consistency_p2 0.9850
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.3000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 2.7500
utr_p1 0.6765
utr_p2 0.3529
utr_advantage 22.2222
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18949
API ID 15187358
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18949,
    "api_id": 15187358,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alexander Kotzen",
    "player2": "Danny Yassine",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-09T20:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.01,
      "p2": 15.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.01,
      "p2": 15.67
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8423,
    "prob_p2": 0.1577,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8423,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.75,
      "utr_ranking": 516,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 48,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 70.58823529411765,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.92,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.98,
          "opponent_name": "Lucas Marionneau"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.6,
          "opponent_name": "Nikita Filin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.95,
          "opponent_name": "Henry Searle"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.26,
          "opponent_name": "Darwin Blanch"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.65,
          "opponent_name": "Kriish Tyagi"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:08.793996+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 5944,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 15,
      "utr_v4_losses": 19,
      "utr_v4_wr": 44.11764705882353,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.13,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Andrew Black"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.12,
          "opponent_name": "Dominick Mosejczuk"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Henry Waddell"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oliver Eriksson"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kashiv Malempati"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:56.551171+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.75,
      "ranking": 516,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 5944,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6764705882352942,
    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 2.75,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 100.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 71.64,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 1.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 100.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 19.999999999999996,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 22.22222222222222,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 19.999999999999996,
    "bp_converted_diff": 15.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 59.384499999999996,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.7,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 68.755,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.300385109114245,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 0.984990619136962,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 58.69,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 75.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.30000000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.925925925925926,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}