Alan Jesudason vs Francisco Perez
UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05 | Hard |
10 Dic 2025, 20:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alan Jesudason
Alan …: 72,9% Francisco …: 27,1%
¿Por qué Alan Jesudason?
Alan …
W14-L16
47% WR
vs UTR 12,3
L2
Francisco …
W41-L29
59% WR
vs UTR 4,4
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alan … Francisco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,14 5,00 87,5%
Gamdom 1,08 5,10 92,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,37 3,68 72,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Alan …: -8,5% Francisco …: +8,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alan Jesudason
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2276
Forma L5 100% (2p)
Forma L10 100% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Francisco Perez
Ranking #-
UTR Ranking #13103 Junior
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alan Jesudason
Record 2025 14W - 16L (47%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
L L W W L
Francisco Perez
Record 2025 41W - 29L (59%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 4,4
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Análisis Momentum
Alan Jesudason ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,3 vs 4,4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,5000
last3_wr_diff 0,5000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 42,8571
momentum_diff 57,1429
weighted_momentum_diff 42,8571
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,3920
serve_consistency_p2 7,9250
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 7,0000
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 -0,3529
utr_advantage 82,3529
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18980
API ID 15187322
Gamdom ID 511033
Torneo UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18980,
    "api_id": 15187322,
    "gamdom_id": 511033,
    "player1": "Alan Jesudason",
    "player2": "Francisco Perez",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-10T16:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1428571428571428,
      "p2": 5.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.08,
      "p2": 5.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.12,
      "p2": 5.44
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7286,
    "prob_p2": 0.2714,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7286,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2276,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 14,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 46.666666666666664,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.27,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luca- Julian HOTZE"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.91,
          "opponent_name": "Nicolas Oliveira"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Julien Doitteau"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.38,
          "opponent_name": "Alejandro Moreno"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Paul Colin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:04.171505+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": 13103,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 41,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 58.57142857142858,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 4.4,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 2.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nicolas Arroyo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 6.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eric Ilut"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 5.0,
          "opponent_name": "Joshua Toledano"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 4.0,
          "opponent_name": "Matias Martin Pastrana"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 3.0,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriel Ortiz"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:25.029362+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2276,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": 13103,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": -0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 7.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 100.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 57.14285714285714,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 82.35294117647058,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.392045454545453,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.924984875983064,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 42.85714285714286,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}