Alan Jesudason vs Francisco Perez
UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 16:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alan Jesudason
Alan …: 72.9% Francisco …: 27.1%
¿Por qué Alan Jesudason?
UTR 12.00 vs 5.00 (+7.00) — Gran diferencia
Alan …
W14-L16
47% WR
vs UTR 12.3
L2
Francisco …
W41-L29
59% WR
vs UTR 4.4
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alan … Francisco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1.14 5.00 87.5%
IA Fair Odds 1.37 3.68 72.9%
Edge vs Mercado: Alan …: -8.5% Francisco …: +8.5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alan Jesudason
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12.00 General
UTR Ranking #2336
Forma L5 100% (2p)
Forma L10 100% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Francisco Perez
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 5.00 Junior
UTR Ranking #16523
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alan Jesudason
Record 2025 14W - 16L (47%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 12.3
Últimos 5:
L L W W L
Francisco Perez
Record 2025 41W - 29L (59%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 4.4
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Análisis Momentum
Alan Jesudason ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12.3 vs 4.4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0.0000
rank_ratio 1.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.0000
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 0.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0000
surface_matches_ratio 0.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 0.0000
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50.0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 0.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.3000
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0.0000
first_serve_won_diff 0.0000
second_serve_won_diff 0.0000
bp_saved_diff 0.0000
bp_converted_diff 0.0000
aces_per_match_diff 0.0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.5000
last3_wr_diff 0.5000
momentum_p1 100.0000
momentum_p2 42.8571
momentum_diff 57.1429
weighted_momentum_diff 42.8571
current_streak_diff 3.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 6.3920
serve_consistency_p2 7.9250
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 7.0000
utr_p1 0.4706
utr_p2 -0.3529
utr_advantage 82.3529
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18980
API ID 15187322
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18980,
    "api_id": 15187322,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alan Jesudason",
    "player2": "Francisco Perez",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-10T16:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1428571428571428,
      "p2": 5.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.13,
      "p2": 5.43
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7286,
    "prob_p2": 0.2714,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7286,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2336,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 14,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 46.666666666666664,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.27,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luca- Julian HOTZE"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.91,
          "opponent_name": "Nicolas Oliveira"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Julien Doitteau"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.38,
          "opponent_name": "Alejandro Moreno"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Paul Colin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:04.171505+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 5.0,
      "utr_ranking": 16523,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 41,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 58.57142857142858,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 4.4,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 2.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nicolas Arroyo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 6.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eric Ilut"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 5.0,
          "opponent_name": "Joshua Toledano"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 4.0,
          "opponent_name": "Matias Martin Pastrana"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 3.0,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriel Ortiz"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:25.029362+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2336,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 5.0,
      "ranking": 16523,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": -0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 7.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 100.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 57.14285714285714,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 82.35294117647058,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.392045454545453,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.924984875983064,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 42.85714285714286,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}