Filip Peliwo vs Juliusz Bienkiewicz
UTR PTT Krakow Men 04 | Carpet |
11 Dec 2025, 08:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Filip Peliwo
Filip …: 80.3% Juliusz …: 19.8%
¿Por qué Filip Peliwo?
UTR 13.45 vs 12.57 (+0.88) — Niveles similares
Filip …
Sin datos
Juliusz …
W25-L18
58% WR
vs UTR 12.0
L4
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Filip … Juliusz … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1.25 5.06 80.3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Filip Peliwo
Ranking #473
UTR Rating 13.45 Pro
UTR Ranking #728
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 86% (7p)
WR Carpet 4/8 = 50.0%
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12.57 Pro
UTR Ranking #1429
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Filip Peliwo
Sin datos UTR v4
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Record 2025 25W - 18L (58%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 12.0
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 27.0000
rank_ratio 1.0571
log_rank_ratio 0.0555
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 94.0000
best_rank_diff 339.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 50.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.8244
surface_matches_ratio 8.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 50.0000
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 52.3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 8.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.4067
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.3533
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 56.5500
first_serve_won_diff 66.9000
second_serve_won_diff 59.5000
bp_saved_diff 66.0000
bp_converted_diff 52.4000
aces_per_match_diff 2.6250
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.2000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 80.0000
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff -20.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -14.2000
current_streak_diff 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 11.5266
serve_consistency_p2 10.0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2.7756
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.0270
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.4730
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.8800
utr_p1 0.6412
utr_p2 0.5376
utr_advantage 6.7640
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18993
API ID 15185123
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Krakow Men 04
Superficie Carpet
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18993,
    "api_id": 15185123,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Filip Peliwo",
    "player2": "Juliusz Bienkiewicz",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Krakow Men 04",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-11T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8025,
    "prob_p2": 0.1975,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8025,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 473,
      "utr_singles": 13.45,
      "utr_ranking": 728,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 85.71428571428571,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.57,
      "utr_ranking": 1429,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 25,
      "utr_v4_losses": 18,
      "utr_v4_wr": 58.139534883720934,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.01,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.8,
          "opponent_name": "Xavier Jakubovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Cian Mcdonnell"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Jonas GUNDACKER"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Uladzislau Tarasevich"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.86,
          "opponent_name": "Stepan Baum"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:02.250042+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.45,
      "ranking": 728,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.57,
      "ranking": 1429,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6411764705882352,
    "utr_p2": 0.5376470588235295,
    "utr_diff": 0.879999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0570824524312896,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 94,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 66.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -20.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 6.764027671022283,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 339,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.05551270993025876,
    "rank_advantage": 27,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 50.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 52.4,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 56.55,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.625,
    "combined_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 66.9,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.526563581233875,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.775635496512938,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 59.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -14.199999999999989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.027000000000000024,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.473,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.8244444444444428,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}