Filip Peliwo vs Juliusz Bienkiewicz
UTR PTT Krakow Men 04 | Carpet |
11 Dic 2025, 15:10
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Filip Peliwo
Filip …: 80,3% Juliusz …: 19,8%
¿Por qué Filip Peliwo?
UTR 13,38 vs 12,65 (+0,88) — Niveles similares
Filip …
Sin datos
Juliusz …
W25-L18
58% WR
vs UTR 12,0
L4
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Filip … Juliusz … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,07 5,39 93,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,25 5,06 80,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Filip Peliwo
Ranking #478
UTR Rating 13,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #792
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 88% (8p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #1419
Forma L5 100% (2p)
Forma L10 100% (2p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Filip Peliwo
Sin datos UTR v4
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Record 2025 25W - 18L (58%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 27,0000
rank_ratio 1,0571
log_rank_ratio 0,0555
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 94,0000
best_rank_diff 339,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 50,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,8244
surface_matches_ratio 8,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 8,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4067
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3533
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 56,5500
first_serve_won_diff 66,9000
second_serve_won_diff 59,5000
bp_saved_diff 66,0000
bp_converted_diff 52,4000
aces_per_match_diff 2,6250
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -14,2000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,5266
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,7756
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0270
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4730
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,8800
utr_p1 0,6412
utr_p2 0,5376
utr_advantage 6,7640
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18993
API ID 15185123
Gamdom ID 509280
Torneo UTR PTT Krakow Men 04
Superficie Carpet
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18993,
    "api_id": 15185123,
    "gamdom_id": 509280,
    "player1": "Filip Peliwo",
    "player2": "Juliusz Bienkiewicz",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Krakow Men 04",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-11T11:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.07,
      "p2": 5.39
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.1,
      "p2": 6.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8025,
    "prob_p2": 0.1975,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8025,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 478,
      "utr_singles": 13.38,
      "utr_ranking": 792,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 87.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.65,
      "utr_ranking": 1419,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 25,
      "utr_v4_losses": 18,
      "utr_v4_wr": 58.139534883720934,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.01,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.8,
          "opponent_name": "Xavier Jakubovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Cian Mcdonnell"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Jonas GUNDACKER"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Uladzislau Tarasevich"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.86,
          "opponent_name": "Stepan Baum"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:02.250042+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.38,
      "ranking": 792,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.65,
      "ranking": 1419,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6411764705882352,
    "utr_p2": 0.5376470588235295,
    "utr_diff": 0.879999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0570824524312896,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 94,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 66.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -20.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 6.764027671022283,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 339,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.05551270993025876,
    "rank_advantage": 27,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 50.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 52.4,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 56.55,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.625,
    "combined_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 66.9,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.526563581233875,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.775635496512938,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 59.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -14.199999999999989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.027000000000000024,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.473,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.8244444444444428,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}