Norbert Marosik vs Jonasz Dziopak
UTR PTT Krakow Men 04 | Carpet |
10 Dec 2025, 09:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jonasz Dziopak
Norbert …: 45.1% Jonasz …: 54.9%
¿Por qué Jonasz Dziopak?
UTR 12.08 vs 12.00 (+0.08) — Niveles similares
Norbert …
W44-L33
57% WR
vs UTR 12.1
W1
Jonasz …
W30-L16
65% WR
vs UTR 12.0
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Norbert … Jonasz … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 2.22 1.82 45.1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Norbert Marosik
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12.08 Pro
UTR Ranking #1755
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0.0%
Jonasz Dziopak
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12.00 General
UTR Ranking #1459
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Norbert Marosik
Record 2025 44W - 33L (57%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12.1
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Jonasz Dziopak
Record 2025 30W - 16L (65%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12.0
Últimos 5:
L W W L L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0.0000
rank_ratio 1.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.0000
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 0.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0000
surface_matches_ratio 0.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 0.0000
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50.0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 0.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.3000
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0.0000
first_serve_won_diff 0.0000
second_serve_won_diff 0.0000
bp_saved_diff 0.0000
bp_converted_diff 0.0000
aces_per_match_diff 0.0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.5000
last3_wr_diff -0.5000
momentum_p1 57.1429
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff -42.8571
weighted_momentum_diff -32.1429
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 9.1660
serve_consistency_p2 10.0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.0800
utr_p1 0.4800
utr_p2 0.4706
utr_advantage 0.6645
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19005
API ID 15185105
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Krakow Men 04
Superficie Carpet
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19005,
    "api_id": 15185105,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Norbert Marosik",
    "player2": "Jonasz Dziopak",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Krakow Men 04",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-10T09:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.3,
      "p2": 1.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.451,
    "prob_p2": 0.549,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.549,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.08,
      "utr_ranking": 1755,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 44,
      "utr_v4_losses": 33,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.07,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Radim Paral"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.5,
          "opponent_name": "Jack Karlsson Wistrand"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.65,
          "opponent_name": "Bercel Sandor Takacs"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Filip Poklemba"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.98,
          "opponent_name": "Tudor Batin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:03.338252+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1459,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 30,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 65.21739130434783,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.04,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jonathan Irwanto"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "JungHee You"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.03,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriele Vulpitta"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ben Hudson"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.1,
          "opponent_name": "Ondrej Horak"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:57.130965+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.08,
      "ranking": 1755,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1459,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.48,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.14285714285715,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -42.85714285714285,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.6644518272425255,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.166011014948861,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -32.14285714285714,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}