Katerina Shabashkevich vs Maria Navarro
UTR PTT Boca Raton Women 10 | Hard |
11 Dec 2025, 15:00
11 Dec 2025, 15:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maria Navarro
Katerina …: 36.7%
Maria …: 63.3%
¿Por qué Maria Navarro?
UTR 10.00 vs 10.44
(-0.44)
— Niveles similares
Katerina …
W33-L18
65% WR
vs UTR 9.1
L3
Maria …
W47-L26
64% WR
vs UTR 9.9
W3
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Katerina … | Maria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 2.72 | 1.58 | 36.7% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katerina Shabashkevich
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10.00 Junior
UTR Ranking
#295
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Maria Navarro
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10.44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#785
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Katerina Shabashkevich
Record 2025
33W - 18L (65%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
9.1
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
W
Maria Navarro
Record 2025
47W - 26L (64%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
9.9
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Maria Navarro viene en racha ganadora (3W) mientras Katerina Shabashkevich perdió 3 seguidos.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 57.1429 | |
| momentum_p2 | 57.1429 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3.3548 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 17.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.2353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.2871 | |
| utr_advantage | -4.3053 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19036
API ID
15186160
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Boca Raton Women 10
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19036,
"api_id": 15186160,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Katerina Shabashkevich",
"player2": "Maria Navarro",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Boca Raton Women 10",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-11T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3671,
"prob_p2": 0.6329,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6329,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 295,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 33,
"utr_v4_losses": 18,
"utr_v4_wr": 64.70588235294117,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.1,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": null,
"opponent_name": "Camila Soares"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.38,
"opponent_name": "Maddy Zampardo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Malkia Ngounoue"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Millie Skelton"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Adrianna SOSNOWSKA"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:07.224675+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.44,
"utr_ranking": 785,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 47,
"utr_v4_losses": 26,
"utr_v4_wr": 64.38356164383562,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.86,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.48,
"opponent_name": "Alisa Danilova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.84,
"opponent_name": "Jaeda Daniel"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.94,
"opponent_name": "Dalayna Hewitt"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.76,
"opponent_name": "Mary Stoiana"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.91,
"opponent_name": "Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:35.028131+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 295,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.44,
"ranking": 785,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.2870588235294117,
"utr_diff": -0.4399999999999995,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.14285714285715,
"momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -4.305283757338548,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.35483870967742,
"serve_consistency_p2": 17.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}