Julie Pastikova vs Denise Hrdinkova
UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08 | Carpet |
10 Dec 2025, 10:00
10 Dec 2025, 10:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Julie Pastikova
Julie …: 66.8%
Denise …: 33.2%
¿Por qué Julie Pastikova?
UTR 11.42 vs 10.00
(+1.42)
— Ligera ventaja
Julie …
W47-L22
68% WR
vs UTR 10.6
W2
Denise …
W82-L24
77% WR
vs UTR 9.6
L1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Julie … | Denise … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1.25 | 3.75 | 80.0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1.50 | 3.01 | 66.8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Julie …: -8.2%
Denise …: +8.2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Julie Pastikova
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11.42 Junior
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
100% (2p)
Forma L10
100% (2p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0.0%
Denise Hrdinkova
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10.00 General
UTR Ranking
#966
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Julie Pastikova
Record 2025
47W - 22L (68%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
10.6
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
W
W
Denise Hrdinkova
Record 2025
82W - 24L (77%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9.6
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Julie Pastikova ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 10.6 vs 9.6).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 66.6667 | |
| momentum_diff | 33.3333 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 16.8664 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1.4200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.2353 | |
| utr_advantage | 13.2586 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19070
API ID
15185152
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08
Superficie
Carpet
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19070,
"api_id": 15185152,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Julie Pastikova",
"player2": "Denise Hrdinkova",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08",
"surface": "carpet",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-10T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.26,
"p2": 3.5
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6681,
"prob_p2": 0.3319,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6681,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.42,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 47,
"utr_v4_losses": 22,
"utr_v4_wr": 68.11594202898551,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.55,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.62,
"opponent_name": "Dominika Pirohova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.36,
"opponent_name": "Anouck Vrancken Peeters"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.15,
"opponent_name": "Elena Gabriela Ruse"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.44,
"opponent_name": "Lucie Petruzelova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.13,
"opponent_name": "Hibah Shaikh"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:01.466410+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 966,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 82,
"utr_v4_losses": 24,
"utr_v4_wr": 77.35849056603774,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.55,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.4,
"opponent_name": "Maria Kalyakina"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Zinovia Vaneva"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.2,
"opponent_name": "Maria Toma"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.6,
"opponent_name": "Alessia Popescu"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.11,
"opponent_name": "Andrea Obradovic"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:00.474623+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.42,
"ranking": 24,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 966,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4023529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
"utr_diff": 1.42,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 33.33333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 13.25863678804855,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 16.86640088793166,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}