Erika Novakova vs Polina Leykina
UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08 | Carpet |
10 Dec 2025, 11:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Leykina
Erika …: 31.7% Polina …: 68.3%
¿Por qué Polina Leykina?
UTR 9.00 vs 10.35 (-1.35) — Ligera ventaja
Erika …
W10-L13
43% WR
vs UTR 9.3
L1
Polina …
W56-L22
72% WR
vs UTR 9.6
W6
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Erika … Polina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4.33 1.20 23.1%
IA Fair Odds 3.15 1.46 31.7%
Edge vs Mercado: Erika …: +10.0% Polina …: -10.0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Erika Novakova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9.00 Junior
UTR Ranking #448
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0.0%
Polina Leykina
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10.35 Pro
UTR Ranking #826
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Erika Novakova
Record 2025 10W - 13L (43%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 9.3
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Polina Leykina
Record 2025 56W - 22L (72%)
Racha 6W
UTR Oponentes 9.6
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Polina Leykina en racha: 6 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0.0000
rank_ratio 1.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.0000
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 0.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0000
surface_matches_ratio 0.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 0.0000
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50.0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 0.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.3000
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0.0000
first_serve_won_diff 0.0000
second_serve_won_diff 0.0000
bp_saved_diff 0.0000
bp_converted_diff 0.0000
aces_per_match_diff 0.0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.6667
last3_wr_diff -0.6667
momentum_p1 0.0000
momentum_p2 55.5556
momentum_diff -55.5556
weighted_momentum_diff -41.6667
current_streak_diff -1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 3.0000
match_load_diff -1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 6.4843
serve_consistency_p2 9.9171
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -1.3500
utr_p1 0.1176
utr_p2 0.2765
utr_advantage -13.9535
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19077
API ID 15185164
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08
Superficie Carpet
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19077,
    "api_id": 15185164,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Erika Novakova",
    "player2": "Polina Leykina",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-10T11:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.333333333333334,
      "p2": 1.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.98,
      "p2": 1.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3171,
    "prob_p2": 0.6829,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6829,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 448,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 10,
      "utr_v4_losses": 13,
      "utr_v4_wr": 43.47826086956522,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.28,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.28,
          "opponent_name": "Karolina Vlckova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.49,
          "opponent_name": "Adela Polakovicova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.58,
          "opponent_name": "Mia Chudejova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Denise Hrdinkova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Simona Wirglerova"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:16.274669+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.35,
      "utr_ranking": 826,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 56,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 71.7948717948718,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.63,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Simona Wirglerova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.87,
          "opponent_name": "Oliwia Szymczuch"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Agatha Chytilova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Natalia Klys"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Lea Fojcik"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:14.294882+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 448,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.35,
      "ranking": 826,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.2764705882352941,
    "utr_diff": -1.3499999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -55.55555555555556,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -13.953488372093018,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.4842578710644645,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.917086804730145,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -41.66666666666667,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}