Erika Novakova vs Polina Leykina
UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08 | Carpet |
10 Dec 2025, 11:30
10 Dec 2025, 11:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Leykina
Erika …: 31.7%
Polina …: 68.3%
¿Por qué Polina Leykina?
UTR 9.00 vs 10.35
(-1.35)
— Ligera ventaja
Erika …
W10-L13
43% WR
vs UTR 9.3
L1
Polina …
W56-L22
72% WR
vs UTR 9.6
W6
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Erika … | Polina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4.33 | 1.20 | 23.1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3.15 | 1.46 | 31.7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Erika …: +10.0%
Polina …: -10.0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Erika Novakova
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9.00 Junior
UTR Ranking
#448
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0.0%
Polina Leykina
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10.35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#826
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Carpet
0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Erika Novakova
Record 2025
10W - 13L (43%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9.3
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Polina Leykina
Record 2025
56W - 22L (72%)
Racha
6W
UTR Oponentes
9.6
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Polina Leykina en racha: 6 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 55.5556 | |
| momentum_diff | -55.5556 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -41.6667 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.4843 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.9171 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1.3500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.1176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.2765 | |
| utr_advantage | -13.9535 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19077
API ID
15185164
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08
Superficie
Carpet
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19077,
"api_id": 15185164,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Erika Novakova",
"player2": "Polina Leykina",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08",
"surface": "carpet",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-10T11:30:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.333333333333334,
"p2": 1.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.98,
"p2": 1.15
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3171,
"prob_p2": 0.6829,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6829,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 448,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 10,
"utr_v4_losses": 13,
"utr_v4_wr": 43.47826086956522,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.28,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.28,
"opponent_name": "Karolina Vlckova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.49,
"opponent_name": "Adela Polakovicova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.58,
"opponent_name": "Mia Chudejova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Denise Hrdinkova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Simona Wirglerova"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:16.274669+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.35,
"utr_ranking": 826,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 56,
"utr_v4_losses": 22,
"utr_v4_wr": 71.7948717948718,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.63,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Simona Wirglerova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.87,
"opponent_name": "Oliwia Szymczuch"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Agatha Chytilova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Natalia Klys"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Lea Fojcik"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:14.294882+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 448,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.35,
"ranking": 826,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.2764705882352941,
"utr_diff": -1.3499999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -55.55555555555556,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -13.953488372093018,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.4842578710644645,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.917086804730145,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -41.66666666666667,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}