Polina Leykina vs Simona Wirglerova
UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08 | Carpet |
11 Dic 2025, 14:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Leykina
Polina …: 58,9% Simona …: 41,1%
¿Por qué Polina Leykina?
UTR 10,32 vs 10,00 (+0,35) — Niveles similares
Polina …
W56-L22
72% WR
vs UTR 9,6
W6
Simona …
W51-L20
72% WR
vs UTR 8,9
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Polina … Simona … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,37 2,45 73,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,70 2,43 58,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Polina …: -5,6% Simona …: +5,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Polina Leykina
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #901
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Simona Wirglerova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 General
UTR Ranking #1635
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (5p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Polina Leykina
Record 2025 56W - 22L (72%)
Racha 6W
UTR Oponentes 9,6
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Simona Wirglerova
Record 2025 51W - 20L (72%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 8,9
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Polina Leykina en racha: 6 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1333
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 55,5556
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -24,4444
weighted_momentum_diff -18,3333
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,9171
serve_consistency_p2 2,9178
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3500
utr_p1 0,2765
utr_p2 0,2353
utr_advantage 3,4398
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19080
API ID 15185175
Gamdom ID 509316
Torneo UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08
Superficie Carpet
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19080,
    "api_id": 15185175,
    "gamdom_id": 509316,
    "player1": "Polina Leykina",
    "player2": "Simona Wirglerova",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Olomouc Women 08",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-11T10:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.37,
      "p2": 2.45
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.77
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.589,
    "prob_p2": 0.411,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.589,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.32,
      "utr_ranking": 901,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 56,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 71.7948717948718,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.63,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Simona Wirglerova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.87,
          "opponent_name": "Oliwia Szymczuch"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Agatha Chytilova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Natalia Klys"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Lea Fojcik"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:14.294882+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1635,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 51,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 71.83098591549296,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.89,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.35,
          "opponent_name": "Polina Leykina"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Anastasiya Kolyada"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Liubou Murashka"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.58,
          "opponent_name": "Izabela Heinzova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nikoline Gullacksen"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:35.435378+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.32,
      "ranking": 901,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 1635,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.2764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.34999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.13333333333333341,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -24.444444444444443,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.4398034398034363,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.917086804730145,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.9178393671554983,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -18.33333333333333,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}