Chloe Paquet vs Elsa Jacquemot
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 32
10 Dec 2025, 11:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elsa Jacquemot
Chloe …: 20.8% Elsa …: 79.2%
¿Por qué Elsa Jacquemot?
UTR 11.75 vs 12.01 (-0.26) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Chloe … Elsa … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3.00 1.36 33.3%
Gamdom 2.85 1.38 35.1%
IA Fair Odds 4.80 1.26 20.8%
Edge vs Mercado: Chloe …: -10.4% Elsa …: +10.4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chloe Paquet
Ranking #242
UTR Rating 11.75 Pro
UTR Ranking #162
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 7/27 = 25.9%
Elsa Jacquemot
Ranking #59
UTR Rating 12.01 Pro
UTR Ranking #103
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 25/45 = 55.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -183.0000
rank_ratio 0.2438
log_rank_ratio -1.4114
rank_tier_advantage -2.0000
points_diff -741.0000
best_rank_diff -40.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -30.6856
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -24.7663
surface_matches_ratio 0.6000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 26.9231
surface_wr_p2 57.6087
surface_wr_p1_stable 29.0323
surface_wr_p2_stable 55.1020
p1_surface_matches 27.0000
p2_surface_matches 45.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.4815
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.9000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 0.9500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4.2163
first_serve_won_diff -3.0364
second_serve_won_diff -2.9318
bp_saved_diff -6.8777
bp_converted_diff -15.8241
aces_per_match_diff -0.9093
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 40.0000
momentum_p2 22.0000
momentum_diff 18.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 13.0600
current_streak_diff 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 77.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 0.0000
match_load_diff 2.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.2941
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.8824
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.4000
serve_consistency_p1 8.0686
serve_consistency_p2 3.5765
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 43.3097
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.0478
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.1069
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.2600
utr_p1 0.4412
utr_p2 0.4718
utr_advantage -2.1886
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19194
API ID 15190794
Gamdom ID 513162
Torneo Limoges, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19194,
    "api_id": 15190794,
    "gamdom_id": 513162,
    "player1": "Chloe Paquet",
    "player2": "Elsa Jacquemot",
    "tournament": "Limoges, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-12-10T11:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.3636363636363638
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.85,
      "p2": 1.38
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.89,
      "p2": 1.39
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2083,
    "prob_p2": 0.7917,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7917,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 242,
      "utr_singles": 11.75,
      "utr_ranking": 162,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.925925925925924,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 59,
      "utr_singles": 12.01,
      "utr_ranking": 103,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.75,
      "ranking": 162,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.01,
      "ranking": 103,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4411764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.4717647058823529,
    "utr_diff": -0.2599999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 0.24380165289256198,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": -741,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.877727272727277,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 26.92307692307692,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.608695652173914,
    "utr_advantage": -2.188552188552187,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -40,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.411400282250967,
    "rank_advantage": -183,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -30.685618729096994,
    "bp_converted_diff": -15.824090909090906,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 45,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.216334752204318,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.29411764705882354,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8823529411764706,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.9093037397385224,
    "combined_confidence": 0.95,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.0363636363636317,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.48148148148148145,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.068637897576155,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.5764815983346727,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 43.309690935293055,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 29.03225806451613,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.10204081632652,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.93181818181818,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 13.060000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 77,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04776923076923073,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10691304347826092,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -24.76629361421987,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}