Chloe Paquet vs Elsa Jacquemot
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 32
10 Dec 2025, 11:30
10 Dec 2025, 11:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elsa Jacquemot
Chloe …: 20.8%
Elsa …: 79.2%
¿Por qué Elsa Jacquemot?
UTR 11.75 vs 12.01
(-0.26)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Chloe … | Elsa … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3.00 | 1.36 | 33.3% |
| Gamdom | 2.85 | 1.38 | 35.1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4.80 | 1.26 | 20.8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Chloe …: -10.4%
Elsa …: +10.4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chloe Paquet
Ranking
#242
UTR Rating
11.75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#162
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
7/27 = 25.9%
Elsa Jacquemot
Ranking
#59
UTR Rating
12.01 Pro
UTR Ranking
#103
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
25/45 = 55.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -183.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2438 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.4114 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -741.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -40.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -30.6856 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -24.7663 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 26.9231 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57.6087 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 29.0323 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55.1020 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 45.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.4815 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4.2163 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3.0364 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.9318 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6.8777 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -15.8241 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.9093 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 13.0600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 77.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.2941 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8824 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.0686 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.5765 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 43.3097 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0478 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1069 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4718 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.1886 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19194
API ID
15190794
Gamdom ID
513162
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19194,
"api_id": 15190794,
"gamdom_id": 513162,
"player1": "Chloe Paquet",
"player2": "Elsa Jacquemot",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-12-10T11:30:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.3636363636363638
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.85,
"p2": 1.38
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.89,
"p2": 1.39
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2083,
"prob_p2": 0.7917,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7917,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 242,
"utr_singles": 11.75,
"utr_ranking": 162,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.925925925925924,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 59,
"utr_singles": 12.01,
"utr_ranking": 103,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 162,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.01,
"ranking": 103,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4717647058823529,
"utr_diff": -0.2599999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 0.24380165289256198,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": -741,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.877727272727277,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 18.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 26.92307692307692,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.608695652173914,
"utr_advantage": -2.188552188552187,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -40,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.411400282250967,
"rank_advantage": -183,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -30.685618729096994,
"bp_converted_diff": -15.824090909090906,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 45,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.216334752204318,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.29411764705882354,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8823529411764706,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.9093037397385224,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.0363636363636317,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.48148148148148145,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.068637897576155,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.5764815983346727,
"surface_rank_synergy": 43.309690935293055,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 29.03225806451613,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.10204081632652,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.93181818181818,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 13.060000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 77,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04776923076923073,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10691304347826092,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -24.76629361421987,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}