Luisina Giovannini vs Polona Hercog
WTA 125k Quito, Ecuador Women Singles | Clay | Final
07 Dec 2025, 16:00
07 Dec 2025, 16:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luisina … | Polona … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2.25 | 1.57 | 44.4% |
| Gamdom | 2.22 | 1.59 | 45.0% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luisina Giovannini
Ranking
#226
UTR Rating
11.65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#195
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
1/6 = 16.7%
Polona Hercog
Ranking
#333
UTR Rating
11.57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#238
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
4/11 = 36.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 52.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.1851 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.1698 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 61.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -235.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -23.5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6.7787 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.5455 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 14.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 37.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 23.6000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 6.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.6667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3800 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.4133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9.1700 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5.3200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -12.0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -18.2700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3.5700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.4550 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9.6903 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.7353 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3.9900 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.4120 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0730 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4200 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.6891 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
19195
API ID
15150377
Gamdom ID
484482
Torneo
WTA 125k Quito, Ecuador Women Singles
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19195,
"api_id": 15150377,
"gamdom_id": 484482,
"player1": "Luisina Giovannini",
"player2": "Polona Hercog",
"tournament": "WTA 125k Quito, Ecuador Women Singles",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-07T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.5714285714285714
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.22,
"p2": 1.59
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.21,
"p2": 1.62
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 226,
"utr_singles": 11.65,
"utr_ranking": 195,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 16.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 333,
"utr_singles": 11.57,
"utr_ranking": 238,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 36.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.65,
"ranking": 195,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.57,
"ranking": 238,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 52,
"rank_ratio": 1.1850533807829182,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.16978782064669812,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 61,
"best_rank_diff": -235,
"surface_wr_diff": -23.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.778666666666666,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5454545454545454,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 14.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 37.5,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 23.6,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 6,
"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.6666666666666666,
"p1_confidence": 0.38,
"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.169999999999995,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.32,
"second_serve_won_diff": -12.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -18.270000000000003,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.5700000000000074,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.455,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.690260210883281,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.735258477505425,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.9900137851974056,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41200000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07299999999999995,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.08000000000000007,
"utr_p1": 0.4294117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.42000000000000004,
"utr_advantage": 0.6890611541774339,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}