Gabriela Knutson vs Alina Charaeva
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 32
09 Dec 2025, 20:10
09 Dec 2025, 20:10
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alina Charaeva
Gabriela …: 31.3%
Alina …: 68.7%
¿Por qué Alina Charaeva?
UTR 11.59 vs 11.65
(-0.06)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Gabriela … | Alina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2.00 | 1.73 | 50.0% |
| Gamdom | 1.87 | 1.83 | 53.5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3.20 | 1.45 | 31.3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Gabriela …: -15.1%
Alina …: +15.1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Gabriela Knutson
Ranking
#191
UTR Rating
11.59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#217
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
4/10 = 40.0%
Alina Charaeva
Ranking
#163
UTR Rating
11.65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#189
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
6/13 = 46.2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -28.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.8534 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.1585 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -62.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -13.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8.8095 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1.9048 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7692 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 36.1905 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42.8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47.0588 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.4533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3.3277 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5.2917 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.6696 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6.4876 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10.0913 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.2405 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12.5900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 8.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 21.5795 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.9800 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1.3965 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1101 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0780 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.0600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4224 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4294 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.5164 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19202
API ID
15190795
Gamdom ID
513158
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19202,
"api_id": 15190795,
"gamdom_id": 513158,
"player1": "Gabriela Knutson",
"player2": "Alina Charaeva",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-12-09T20:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.87,
"p2": 1.83
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.86,
"p2": 1.88
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3126,
"prob_p2": 0.6874,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6874,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 191,
"utr_singles": 11.59,
"utr_ranking": 217,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 163,
"utr_singles": 11.65,
"utr_ranking": 189,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.15384615384615,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 217,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.65,
"ranking": 189,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
"utr_diff": -0.0600000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 0.8534031413612565,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": -62,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.487619047619049,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 18.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 36.19047619047618,
"surface_wr_p2": 45.0,
"utr_advantage": -0.5163511187607616,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -13,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1585232272398676,
"rank_advantage": -28,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.809523809523817,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.09128571428571,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.327680952380959,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.24047619047619073,
"combined_confidence": 0.45333333333333337,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.291714285714292,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 21.579496918685532,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.979964912654801,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.396514144732168,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.6695714285714303,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7692307692307693,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.590000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11009523809523813,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07800000000000001,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.9047619047619047,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}