Gabriela Knutson vs Alina Charaeva
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 32
09 Dec 2025, 20:10
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alina Charaeva
Gabriela …: 31.3% Alina …: 68.7%
¿Por qué Alina Charaeva?
UTR 11.59 vs 11.65 (-0.06) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Gabriela … Alina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2.00 1.73 50.0%
Gamdom 1.87 1.83 53.5%
IA Fair Odds 3.20 1.45 31.3%
Edge vs Mercado: Gabriela …: -15.1% Alina …: +15.1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Gabriela Knutson
Ranking #191
UTR Rating 11.59 Pro
UTR Ranking #217
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 4/10 = 40.0%
Alina Charaeva
Ranking #163
UTR Rating 11.65 Pro
UTR Ranking #189
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 6/13 = 46.2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -28.0000
rank_ratio 0.8534
log_rank_ratio -0.1585
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff -62.0000
best_rank_diff -13.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8.8095
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1.9048
surface_matches_ratio 0.7692
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1.0000
surface_wr_p1 36.1905
surface_wr_p2 45.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 42.8571
surface_wr_p2_stable 47.0588
p1_surface_matches 10.0000
p2_surface_matches 13.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.4333
p2_confidence 0.4733
combined_confidence 0.4533
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3.3277
first_serve_won_diff 5.2917
second_serve_won_diff 0.6696
bp_saved_diff 6.4876
bp_converted_diff -10.0913
aces_per_match_diff 0.2405
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.3333
momentum_p1 28.0000
momentum_p2 10.0000
momentum_diff 18.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 12.5900
current_streak_diff 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 8.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 21.5795
serve_consistency_p2 5.9800
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1.3965
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.1101
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.0780
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.0600
utr_p1 0.4224
utr_p2 0.4294
utr_advantage -0.5164
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19202
API ID 15190795
Gamdom ID 513158
Torneo Limoges, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19202,
    "api_id": 15190795,
    "gamdom_id": 513158,
    "player1": "Gabriela Knutson",
    "player2": "Alina Charaeva",
    "tournament": "Limoges, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-12-09T20:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.87,
      "p2": 1.83
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.86,
      "p2": 1.88
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3126,
    "prob_p2": 0.6874,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6874,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 191,
      "utr_singles": 11.59,
      "utr_ranking": 217,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 163,
      "utr_singles": 11.65,
      "utr_ranking": 189,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.15384615384615,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 11.59,
      "ranking": 217,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.65,
      "ranking": 189,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
    "utr_diff": -0.0600000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8534031413612565,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": -62,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.487619047619049,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 18.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 36.19047619047618,
    "surface_wr_p2": 45.0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.5163511187607616,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -13,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.1585232272398676,
    "rank_advantage": -28,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.809523809523817,
    "bp_converted_diff": -10.09128571428571,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 13,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.327680952380959,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.24047619047619073,
    "combined_confidence": 0.45333333333333337,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.291714285714292,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 21.579496918685532,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.979964912654801,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.396514144732168,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.6695714285714303,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7692307692307693,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 12.590000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11009523809523813,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07800000000000001,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.9047619047619047,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}