Shuai Zhang vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 32
10 Dec 2025, 13:50
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shuai Zhang
Shuai …: 75.0% Lucrezia …: 25.0%
¿Por qué Shuai Zhang?
UTR 12.18 vs 11.65 (+0.53) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Shuai … Lucrezia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1.17 4.50 85.7%
Gamdom 1.18 4.40 84.7%
IA Fair Odds 1.33 4.01 75.0%
Edge vs Mercado: Shuai …: -4.4% Lucrezia …: +4.4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shuai Zhang
Ranking #87
UTR Rating 12.18 Pro
UTR Ranking #60
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/35 = 48.6%
Lucrezia Stefanini
Ranking #140
UTR Rating 11.65 Pro
UTR Ranking #188
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 22/42 = 52.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 53.0000
rank_ratio 1.6092
log_rank_ratio 0.4757
rank_tier_advantage 1.0000
points_diff 304.0000
best_rank_diff 77.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0.5000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3.4560
surface_matches_ratio 0.8333
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1.0000
surface_wr_p1 52.0000
surface_wr_p2 51.5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 48.7179
surface_wr_p2_stable 52.1739
p1_surface_matches 35.0000
p2_surface_matches 42.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.0286
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3.6801
first_serve_won_diff 2.9209
second_serve_won_diff -2.5922
bp_saved_diff -1.4182
bp_converted_diff 1.2519
aces_per_match_diff 1.4986
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.4000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 38.0000
momentum_p2 60.0000
momentum_diff -22.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -18.9300
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 44.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 0.0000
match_load_diff 2.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.8351
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5000
serve_consistency_p1 14.4478
serve_consistency_p2 10.9367
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.2379
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.0330
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0680
elite_surface_amplifier 0.5000
UTR
utr_diff 0.5300
utr_p1 0.4918
utr_p2 0.4294
utr_advantage 4.4482
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19204
API ID 15190799
Gamdom ID 513159
Torneo Limoges, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19204,
    "api_id": 15190799,
    "gamdom_id": 513159,
    "player1": "Shuai Zhang",
    "player2": "Lucrezia Stefanini",
    "tournament": "Limoges, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-12-10T13:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1666666666666667,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.18,
      "p2": 4.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.18,
      "p2": 4.51
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7504,
    "prob_p2": 0.2496,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7504,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 87,
      "utr_singles": 12.18,
      "utr_ranking": 60,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 140,
      "utr_singles": 11.65,
      "utr_ranking": 188,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.18,
      "ranking": 60,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.65,
      "ranking": 188,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4917647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.5299999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 1.6091954022988506,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 304,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.4182272727272718,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -22.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.5,
    "utr_advantage": 4.448174569869907,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 77,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.4757343039547206,
    "rank_advantage": 53,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.2518636363636375,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 42,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.680072727272716,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8350515463917526,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.4986363636363635,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.9209090909090847,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.02857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 14.447760632083218,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.936674592045165,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.2378671519773603,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.717948717948715,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.17391304347826,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.592181818181821,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8333333333333334,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -18.930000000000007,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.5,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 44,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03299999999999992,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06799999999999995,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.4559643255295427,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}