Shuai Zhang vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 32
10 Dec 2025, 13:50
10 Dec 2025, 13:50
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shuai Zhang
Shuai …: 75.0%
Lucrezia …: 25.0%
¿Por qué Shuai Zhang?
UTR 12.18 vs 11.65
(+0.53)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Shuai … | Lucrezia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1.17 | 4.50 | 85.7% |
| Gamdom | 1.18 | 4.40 | 84.7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1.33 | 4.01 | 75.0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Shuai …: -4.4%
Lucrezia …: +4.4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shuai Zhang
Ranking
#87
UTR Rating
12.18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#60
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
17/35 = 48.6%
Lucrezia Stefanini
Ranking
#140
UTR Rating
11.65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#188
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
22/42 = 52.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 53.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.6092 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.4757 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 304.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 77.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3.4560 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48.7179 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52.1739 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 42.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.0286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3.6801 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2.9209 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.5922 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.4182 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.2519 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.4986 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -18.9300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 44.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8351 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14.4478 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.9367 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.2379 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0330 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0680 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.5000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.5300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4294 | |
| utr_advantage | 4.4482 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19204
API ID
15190799
Gamdom ID
513159
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19204,
"api_id": 15190799,
"gamdom_id": 513159,
"player1": "Shuai Zhang",
"player2": "Lucrezia Stefanini",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-12-10T13:50:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1666666666666667,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 4.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 4.51
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7504,
"prob_p2": 0.2496,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7504,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 87,
"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 60,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 140,
"utr_singles": 11.65,
"utr_ranking": 188,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 60,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 188,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
"utr_diff": 0.5299999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 1.6091954022988506,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": 304,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.4182272727272718,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.5,
"utr_advantage": 4.448174569869907,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 77,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.4757343039547206,
"rank_advantage": 53,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.5,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.2518636363636375,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 42,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.680072727272716,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8350515463917526,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4986363636363635,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.9209090909090847,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.02857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 14.447760632083218,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.936674592045165,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.2378671519773603,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.717948717948715,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.17391304347826,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.592181818181821,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8333333333333334,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -18.930000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.5,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 44,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03299999999999992,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06799999999999995,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.4559643255295427,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}