Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs Jessika Ponchet
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 32
10 Dec 2025, 12:40
10 Dec 2025, 12:40
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jessika Ponchet
Tiantsoa …: 26.7%
Jessika …: 73.3%
¿Por qué Jessika Ponchet?
UTR 11.48 vs 11.73
(-0.25)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tiantsoa … | Jessika … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2.00 | 1.73 | 50.0% |
| Gamdom | 1.78 | 1.93 | 56.2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3.74 | 1.36 | 26.7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tiantsoa …: -19.6%
Jessika …: +19.6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Ranking
#123
UTR Rating
11.48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#261
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
2/9 = 22.2%
Jessika Ponchet
Ranking
#171
UTR Rating
11.73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#173
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/36 = 50.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 48.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.3902 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.3295 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 197.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -18.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -28.8636 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14.6915 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.2500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 17.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46.3636 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 29.3077 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 36.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.5556 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -15.6438 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -12.0933 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -12.1648 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -16.6976 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4.5345 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.9739 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0.5010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 8.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.9371 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.5259 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -9.5100 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.3730 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0116 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4388 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.1542 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19207
API ID
15190797
Gamdom ID
513156
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19207,
"api_id": 15190797,
"gamdom_id": 513156,
"player1": "Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah",
"player2": "Jessika Ponchet",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-12-10T12:40:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.78,
"p2": 1.93
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.79,
"p2": 1.96
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2673,
"prob_p2": 0.7327,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7327,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 123,
"utr_singles": 11.48,
"utr_ranking": 261,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 22.22222222222222,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 171,
"utr_singles": 11.73,
"utr_ranking": 173,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 261,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.73,
"ranking": 173,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4388235294117648,
"utr_diff": -0.25,
"rank_ratio": 1.3902439024390243,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": 197,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -16.69761363636364,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 17.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.36363636363636,
"utr_advantage": -2.1542438604049976,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -18,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.32947920113024226,
"rank_advantage": 48,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6428571428571429,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -28.86363636363636,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.5345454545454515,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 36,
"serve_quality_diff": -15.643806818181815,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9428571428571428,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.973863636363636,
"combined_confidence": 0.71,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -12.093295454545455,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5555555555555556,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.937124556205698,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.525936180473368,
"surface_rank_synergy": -9.509967850804719,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 29.307692307692307,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -12.16477272727274,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.25,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.5009999999999977,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.37300000000000005,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.011636363636363667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.691538461538462,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}