Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs Jessika Ponchet
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 32
10 Dec 2025, 12:40
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jessika Ponchet
Tiantsoa …: 26.7% Jessika …: 73.3%
¿Por qué Jessika Ponchet?
UTR 11.48 vs 11.73 (-0.25) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tiantsoa … Jessika … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2.00 1.73 50.0%
Gamdom 1.78 1.93 56.2%
IA Fair Odds 3.74 1.36 26.7%
Edge vs Mercado: Tiantsoa …: -19.6% Jessika …: +19.6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Ranking #123
UTR Rating 11.48 Pro
UTR Ranking #261
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 2/9 = 22.2%
Jessika Ponchet
Ranking #171
UTR Rating 11.73 Pro
UTR Ranking #173
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 18/36 = 50.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 48.0000
rank_ratio 1.3902
log_rank_ratio 0.3295
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 197.0000
best_rank_diff -18.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -28.8636
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14.6915
surface_matches_ratio 0.2500
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1.0000
surface_wr_p1 17.5000
surface_wr_p2 46.3636
surface_wr_p1_stable 29.3077
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 9.0000
p2_surface_matches 36.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.5556
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.4200
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 0.7100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -15.6438
first_serve_won_diff -12.0933
second_serve_won_diff -12.1648
bp_saved_diff -16.6976
bp_converted_diff -4.5345
aces_per_match_diff -2.9739
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 8.0000
momentum_p2 10.0000
momentum_diff -2.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0.5010
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 8.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1.0000
h2h_matches 1.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1.0000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.9429
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.6429
serve_consistency_p1 7.9371
serve_consistency_p2 13.5259
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -9.5100
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.3730
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0116
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.2500
utr_p1 0.4094
utr_p2 0.4388
utr_advantage -2.1542
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19207
API ID 15190797
Gamdom ID 513156
Torneo Limoges, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19207,
    "api_id": 15190797,
    "gamdom_id": 513156,
    "player1": "Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah",
    "player2": "Jessika Ponchet",
    "tournament": "Limoges, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-12-10T12:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.78,
      "p2": 1.93
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.79,
      "p2": 1.96
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2673,
    "prob_p2": 0.7327,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7327,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 123,
      "utr_singles": 11.48,
      "utr_ranking": 261,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 22.22222222222222,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 171,
      "utr_singles": 11.73,
      "utr_ranking": 173,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 11.48,
      "ranking": 261,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.73,
      "ranking": 173,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4388235294117648,
    "utr_diff": -0.25,
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    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 8.0,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": 197,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -16.69761363636364,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 17.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.36363636363636,
    "utr_advantage": -2.1542438604049976,
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    "best_rank_diff": -18,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.32947920113024226,
    "rank_advantage": 48,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -28.86363636363636,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.5345454545454515,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 36,
    "serve_quality_diff": -15.643806818181815,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9428571428571428,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.973863636363636,
    "combined_confidence": 0.71,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -12.093295454545455,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.5555555555555556,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.937124556205698,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.525936180473368,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -9.509967850804719,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 29.307692307692307,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -12.16477272727274,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.25,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.5009999999999977,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.37300000000000005,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.011636363636363667,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.691538461538462,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}