Zoe Adkins vs Daria Budko
UTR PTT Knoxville Women 05 | Hard |
11 Dic 2025, 00:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daria Budko
Zoe …: 44,0% Daria …: 56,0%
¿Por qué Daria Budko?
UTR 9,00 vs 8,00 (-3,01) — Ventaja clara
Zoe …
W23-L20
53% WR
vs UTR 8,6
L1
Daria …
W45-L27
62% WR
vs UTR 8,0
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Zoe … Daria … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 1,91 55,6%
Gamdom 1,72 1,81 58,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,27 1,79 44,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Zoe …: -7,5% Daria …: +7,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zoe Adkins
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #3344
Forma L5 100% (2p)
Forma L10 100% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Daria Budko
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 8,00 General
UTR Ranking #3711
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Zoe Adkins
Record 2025 23W - 20L (53%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 8,6
Últimos 5:
L W L W L
Daria Budko
Record 2025 45W - 27L (63%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 8,0
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 1,0000
last3_wr_diff 1,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 100,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 75,0000
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -3,0072
utr_p1 0,1176
utr_p2 0,4714
utr_advantage -28,6302
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19236
API ID 15187446
Gamdom ID 511061
Torneo UTR PTT Knoxville Women 05
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19236,
    "api_id": 15187446,
    "gamdom_id": 511061,
    "player1": "Zoe Adkins",
    "player2": "Daria Budko",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Knoxville Women 05",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-10T20:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 1.9090909090909092
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.72,
      "p2": 1.81
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.75,
      "p2": 1.96
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.44,
    "prob_p2": 0.56,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.56,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3344,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 23,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 53.48837209302325,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.56,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "darya schwartzman"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "JULIA CAMBLOR FERNANDEZ"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ariel Madatali"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eugenia Jazmin Ceinos"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Pia Marija Rebec"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:09.544276+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 8.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3711,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 45,
      "utr_v4_losses": 27,
      "utr_v4_wr": 62.5,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.01,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Caroline McGinley"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Avery Olsen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Olivia Dartawan"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sun Park"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Emerson Jones"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:56.727850+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 3344,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 8.0,
      "ranking": 3711,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.4714359485416742,
    "utr_diff": -3.0072055626042307,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 100.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 1.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 100.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -28.630229314816418,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 75.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}