Addy Rogin vs Vanesa Suarez
UTR PTT Knoxville Women 05 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 18:10
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Vanesa Suarez
Addy …: 17.3% Vanesa …: 82.7%
¿Por qué Vanesa Suarez?
UTR 9.00 vs 10.00 (-1.00) — Ligera ventaja
Addy …
W55-L38
59% WR
vs UTR 8.3
W1
Vanesa …
W26-L16
62% WR
vs UTR 9.7
L2
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Addy … Vanesa … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 5.78 1.21 17.3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Addy Rogin
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9.00 Junior
UTR Ranking #953
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Vanesa Suarez
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10.00 General
UTR Ranking #1274
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Addy Rogin
Record 2025 55W - 38L (59%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 8.3
Últimos 5:
W L L W L
Vanesa Suarez
Record 2025 26W - 16L (62%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 9.7
Últimos 5:
L L W W W
Análisis Momentum
Vanesa Suarez ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9.7 vs 8.3).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0.0000
rank_ratio 1.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.0000
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 0.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -25.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6.5333
surface_matches_ratio 0.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 0.0000
surface_wr_p2 25.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50.0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 30.0000
p1_surface_matches 0.0000
p2_surface_matches 4.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.3000
p2_confidence 0.3533
combined_confidence 0.3267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -38.6600
first_serve_won_diff -49.1000
second_serve_won_diff -43.7000
bp_saved_diff -27.6000
bp_converted_diff -56.5000
aces_per_match_diff -0.5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -1.0000
last3_wr_diff -1.0000
momentum_p1 0.0000
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff -100.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -75.0000
current_streak_diff -3.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 0.8570
serve_consistency_p2 10.0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.2500
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -1.0000
utr_p1 0.1176
utr_p2 0.2353
utr_advantage -10.5263
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19246
API ID 15187451
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Knoxville Women 05
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19246,
    "api_id": 15187451,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Addy Rogin",
    "player2": "Vanesa Suarez",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Knoxville Women 05",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-10T18:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.173,
    "prob_p2": 0.827,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.827,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 953,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 55,
      "utr_v4_losses": 38,
      "utr_v4_wr": 59.13978494623656,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.3,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Malea Diehn"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Thara Gowda"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Estela Loureiro"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Emerey Gross"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Lauren Nolan"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:01.019956+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1274,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 26,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.904761904761905,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.68,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.27,
          "opponent_name": "Xinyi Nong"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Zoe Hammond"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.28,
          "opponent_name": "Francesca Mattioli"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Skylar Kasday"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:55.661338+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 953,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 1274,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_diff": -1.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -27.6,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -100.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
    "utr_advantage": -10.526315789473683,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -25.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -56.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 4,
    "serve_quality_diff": -38.660000000000004,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -49.1,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 0.8569739952718685,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -43.7,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -75.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.25,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.533333333333333,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}