Maria Aytoyan vs Gabby Gregg
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 17 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 21:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maria Aytoyan
Maria …: 66.9% Gabby …: 33.1%
¿Por qué Maria Aytoyan?
UTR 10.34 vs 9.00 (+1.34) — Ligera ventaja
Maria …
W34-L20
63% WR
vs UTR 9.7
W2
Gabby …
W18-L12
60% WR
vs UTR 9.0
W2
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Maria … Gabby … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1.50 3.02 66.9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Aytoyan
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10.34 Junior
UTR Ranking #155
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Gabby Gregg
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9.00 General
UTR Ranking #3023
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Maria Aytoyan
Record 2025 34W - 20L (63%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 9.7
Últimos 5:
W W L W L
Gabby Gregg
Record 2025 18W - 12L (60%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 9.0
Últimos 5:
W W L W W
Análisis Momentum
Maria Aytoyan ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9.7 vs 9.0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0.0000
rank_ratio 1.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.0000
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 0.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0000
surface_matches_ratio 0.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 0.0000
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50.0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 0.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.3000
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0.0000
first_serve_won_diff 0.0000
second_serve_won_diff 0.0000
bp_saved_diff 0.0000
bp_converted_diff 0.0000
aces_per_match_diff 0.0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 100.0000
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff 0.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 10.0000
serve_consistency_p2 10.0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 1.3400
utr_p1 0.2753
utr_p2 0.1176
utr_advantage 13.8573
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19292
API ID 15187728
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 17
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19292,
    "api_id": 15187728,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Maria Aytoyan",
    "player2": "Gabby Gregg",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 17",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-10T21:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6686,
    "prob_p2": 0.3314,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6686,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.34,
      "utr_ranking": 155,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 34,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 62.96296296296296,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.67,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Amy Duong"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Catherine Rennard"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Amy Lee"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Cookie Jarvis-Tredgett"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.85,
          "opponent_name": "Veronika Miroshnichenko"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:33.728381+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3023,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 18,
      "utr_v4_losses": 12,
      "utr_v4_wr": 60.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.97,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Emma Sun"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Carla Pacot"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Anastasiia Grechkina"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.82,
          "opponent_name": "Lily Fairclough"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Carla Pacot"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:26.509923+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.34,
      "ranking": 155,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 3023,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.2752941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 1.3399999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 100.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 13.857290589451912,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}