Maria Aytoyan vs Gabby Gregg
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 17 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 21:00
10 Dec 2025, 21:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maria Aytoyan
Maria …: 66.9%
Gabby …: 33.1%
¿Por qué Maria Aytoyan?
UTR 10.34 vs 9.00
(+1.34)
— Ligera ventaja
Maria …
W34-L20
63% WR
vs UTR 9.7
W2
Gabby …
W18-L12
60% WR
vs UTR 9.0
W2
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Gabby … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1.50 | 3.02 | 66.9% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Aytoyan
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10.34 Junior
UTR Ranking
#155
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Gabby Gregg
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9.00 General
UTR Ranking
#3023
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Maria Aytoyan
Record 2025
34W - 20L (63%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
9.7
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
W
L
Gabby Gregg
Record 2025
18W - 12L (60%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
9.0
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Maria Aytoyan ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9.7 vs 9.0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1.3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.2753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.1176 | |
| utr_advantage | 13.8573 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19292
API ID
15187728
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 17
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19292,
"api_id": 15187728,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maria Aytoyan",
"player2": "Gabby Gregg",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Newport Beach Women 17",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-10T21:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6686,
"prob_p2": 0.3314,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6686,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.34,
"utr_ranking": 155,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 34,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 62.96296296296296,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.67,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Amy Duong"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Catherine Rennard"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Amy Lee"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Cookie Jarvis-Tredgett"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.85,
"opponent_name": "Veronika Miroshnichenko"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:33.728381+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 3023,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 18,
"utr_v4_losses": 12,
"utr_v4_wr": 60.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.97,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Emma Sun"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Carla Pacot"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Anastasiia Grechkina"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.82,
"opponent_name": "Lily Fairclough"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Carla Pacot"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:26.509923+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.34,
"ranking": 155,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 3023,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.2752941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_diff": 1.3399999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 13.857290589451912,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}