Sonay Kartal vs Anhelina Kalinina
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 16
10 Dec 2025, 15:00
10 Dec 2025, 15:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sonay Kartal
Sonay …: 87.1%
Anhelina …: 12.9%
¿Por qué Sonay Kartal?
UTR 12.27 vs 11.90
(+0.37)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sonay … | Anhelina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1.22 | 4.00 | 81.8% |
| Gamdom | 1.24 | 3.65 | 80.6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1.15 | 7.78 | 87.1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sonay …: +10.5%
Anhelina …: -10.5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sonay Kartal
Ranking
#69
UTR Rating
12.27 Pro
UTR Ranking
#47
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
24/36 = 66.7%
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking
#155
UTR Rating
11.90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#128
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
17/41 = 41.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 86.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.2464 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.8093 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 475.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -19.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 24.7596 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 22.7778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.8780 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 5.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 67.3846 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42.6250 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42.2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 41.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.2589 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.9623 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7.1548 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7.3363 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2.2615 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.6843 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 28.7500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6757 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6818 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.2222 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.8641 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.1133 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 20.0384 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0878 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0123 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 24.7596 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.3700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4588 | |
| utr_advantage | 3.0616 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19300
API ID
15175828
Gamdom ID
501140
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19300,
"api_id": 15175828,
"gamdom_id": 501140,
"player1": "Sonay Kartal",
"player2": "Anhelina Kalinina",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-12-10T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2222222222222223,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.24,
"p2": 3.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 3.81
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8714,
"prob_p2": 0.1286,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8714,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 69,
"utr_singles": 12.27,
"utr_ranking": 47,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 155,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 128,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.46341463414634,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 47,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 128,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_diff": 0.3699999999999992,
"rank_ratio": 2.246376811594203,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 475,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.336346153846151,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 21.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 67.38461538461539,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.625,
"utr_advantage": 3.0616466694249005,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -19,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8093186123219873,
"rank_advantage": 86,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2222222222222222,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 24.759615384615387,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.26153846153845,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 41,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.258903846153835,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6756756756756757,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6818181818181818,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6843461538461535,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.9623076923076894,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.864132211738829,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.113324302524178,
"surface_rank_synergy": 20.038417564703053,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.22222222222222,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.154807692307685,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8780487804878049,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 28.75,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 24.759615384615387,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0878461538461538,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.012250000000000094,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 22.77777777777778,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5
},
"feature_importance": {}
}