Sonay Kartal vs Anhelina Kalinina
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 16
10 Dec 2025, 15:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sonay Kartal
Sonay …: 87.1% Anhelina …: 12.9%
¿Por qué Sonay Kartal?
UTR 12.27 vs 11.90 (+0.37) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sonay … Anhelina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1.22 4.00 81.8%
Gamdom 1.24 3.65 80.6%
IA Fair Odds 1.15 7.78 87.1%
Edge vs Mercado: Sonay …: +10.5% Anhelina …: -10.5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sonay Kartal
Ranking #69
UTR Rating 12.27 Pro
UTR Ranking #47
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 24/36 = 66.7%
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking #155
UTR Rating 11.90 Pro
UTR Ranking #128
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 17/41 = 41.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 86.0000
rank_ratio 2.2464
log_rank_ratio 0.8093
rank_tier_advantage 1.0000
points_diff 475.0000
best_rank_diff -19.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 24.7596
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 22.7778
surface_matches_ratio 0.8780
surface_tournaments_won_diff 5.0000
surface_wr_p1 67.3846
surface_wr_p2 42.6250
surface_wr_p1_stable 65.0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 42.2222
p1_surface_matches 36.0000
p2_surface_matches 41.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1.2589
first_serve_won_diff 0.9623
second_serve_won_diff 7.1548
bp_saved_diff 7.3363
bp_converted_diff 2.2615
aces_per_match_diff -0.6843
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.4000
last3_wr_diff 0.3333
momentum_p1 70.0000
momentum_p2 48.0000
momentum_diff 22.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 28.7500
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.6757
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.6818
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.2222
serve_consistency_p1 6.8641
serve_consistency_p2 6.1133
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 20.0384
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0878
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0123
elite_surface_amplifier 24.7596
UTR
utr_diff 0.3700
utr_p1 0.5024
utr_p2 0.4588
utr_advantage 3.0616
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19300
API ID 15175828
Gamdom ID 501140
Torneo Limoges, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19300,
    "api_id": 15175828,
    "gamdom_id": 501140,
    "player1": "Sonay Kartal",
    "player2": "Anhelina Kalinina",
    "tournament": "Limoges, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-12-10T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2222222222222223,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.24,
      "p2": 3.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.81
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8714,
    "prob_p2": 0.1286,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8714,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 69,
      "utr_singles": 12.27,
      "utr_ranking": 47,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 155,
      "utr_singles": 11.9,
      "utr_ranking": 128,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.46341463414634,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.27,
      "ranking": 47,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.9,
      "ranking": 128,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5023529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
    "utr_diff": 0.3699999999999992,
    "rank_ratio": 2.246376811594203,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 475,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.336346153846151,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 21.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 67.38461538461539,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.625,
    "utr_advantage": 3.0616466694249005,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -19,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8093186123219873,
    "rank_advantage": 86,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2222222222222222,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 24.759615384615387,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.26153846153845,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 41,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.258903846153835,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6756756756756757,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6818181818181818,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.6843461538461535,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.9623076923076894,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.864132211738829,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.113324302524178,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 20.038417564703053,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.22222222222222,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.154807692307685,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8780487804878049,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 28.75,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 24.759615384615387,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0878461538461538,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.012250000000000094,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 22.77777777777778,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}