Sonay Kartal vs Anhelina Kalinina
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 16
10 Dic 2025, 22:15
10 Dic 2025, 22:15
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sonay Kartal
Sonay …: 87,1%
Anhelina …: 12,9%
¿Por qué Sonay Kartal?
UTR 12,38 vs 12,11
(+0,37)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sonay … | Anhelina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,00 | 81,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,19 | 4,20 | 84,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,15 | 7,78 | 87,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sonay …: +10,5%
Anhelina …: -10,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sonay Kartal
Ranking
#66
UTR Rating
12,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#35
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
16/28 = 57,1%
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking
#179
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#77
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
12/21 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 86,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,2464 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8093 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 475,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -19,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 24,7596 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 22,7778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8780 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 5,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 67,3846 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,6250 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,2589 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,9623 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,1548 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,3363 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,2615 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6843 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 28,7500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6757 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6818 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2222 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,8641 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1133 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 20,0384 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0878 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0123 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 24,7596 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,0616 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19300
API ID
15175828
Gamdom ID
501140
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19300,
"api_id": 15175828,
"gamdom_id": 501140,
"player1": "Sonay Kartal",
"player2": "Anhelina Kalinina",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-12-10T18:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2222222222222223,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.19,
"p2": 4.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.27
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8714,
"prob_p2": 0.1286,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8714,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 66,
"utr_singles": 12.38,
"utr_ranking": 35,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 179,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 77,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.38,
"ranking": 35,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.11,
"ranking": 77,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.45882352941176474,
"utr_diff": 0.3699999999999992,
"rank_ratio": 2.246376811594203,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 475,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.336346153846151,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 21.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 67.38461538461539,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.625,
"utr_advantage": 3.0616466694249005,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -19,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8093186123219873,
"rank_advantage": 86,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2222222222222222,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 24.759615384615387,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.26153846153845,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 41,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.258903846153835,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6756756756756757,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6818181818181818,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6843461538461535,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.9623076923076894,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.864132211738829,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.113324302524178,
"surface_rank_synergy": 20.038417564703053,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.22222222222222,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.154807692307685,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8780487804878049,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 28.75,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 24.759615384615387,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0878461538461538,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.012250000000000094,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 22.77777777777778,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 5
},
"feature_importance": {}
}