Fiona Ferro vs Alycia Parks
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 16
10 Dec 2025, 16:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alycia Parks
Fiona …: 45.8% Alycia …: 54.2%
¿Por qué Alycia Parks?
UTR 11.58 vs 11.72 (-0.14) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Fiona … Alycia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3.25 1.33 30.8%
Gamdom 3.05 1.30 32.8%
IA Fair Odds 2.19 1.84 45.8%
Edge vs Mercado: Fiona …: +16.7% Alycia …: -16.7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fiona Ferro
Ranking #395
UTR Rating 11.58 Pro
UTR Ranking #206
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 7/9 = 77.8%
Alycia Parks
Ranking #85
UTR Rating 11.72 Pro
UTR Ranking #171
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 42/81 = 51.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -310.0000
rank_ratio 0.2152
log_rank_ratio -1.5362
rank_tier_advantage -2.0000
points_diff -679.0000
best_rank_diff 1.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 41.4535
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11.5680
surface_matches_ratio 0.1111
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2.0000
surface_wr_p1 92.5000
surface_wr_p2 51.0465
surface_wr_p1_stable 68.0577
surface_wr_p2_stable 51.7647
p1_surface_matches 9.0000
p2_surface_matches 81.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.5556
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.4200
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 0.7100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -13.8968
first_serve_won_diff -9.9958
second_serve_won_diff -0.1527
bp_saved_diff 2.1939
bp_converted_diff 0.4849
aces_per_match_diff -4.4266
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 62.0000
momentum_p2 68.0000
momentum_diff -6.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4.7800
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 3.0000
match_load_p2 4.0000
match_load_diff -1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.6000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.4970
tiebreak_wr_p1 1.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5625
serve_consistency_p1 6.3999
serve_consistency_p2 3.8342
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -63.6823
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.7350
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.2995
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.1400
utr_p1 0.4212
utr_p2 0.4376
utr_advantage -1.2017
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19302
API ID 15175825
Gamdom ID 501139
Torneo Limoges, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19302,
    "api_id": 15175825,
    "gamdom_id": 501139,
    "player1": "Fiona Ferro",
    "player2": "Alycia Parks",
    "tournament": "Limoges, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-12-10T16:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.25,
      "p2": 1.3333333333333333
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.05,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.29,
      "p2": 1.32
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4576,
    "prob_p2": 0.5424,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5424,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 395,
      "utr_singles": 11.58,
      "utr_ranking": 206,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 77.77777777777779,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": 11.72,
      "utr_ranking": 171,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
      "wr_surface_wins": 42,
      "wr_surface_total": 81,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.58,
      "ranking": 206,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.72,
      "ranking": 171,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4211764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.4376470588235295,
    "utr_diff": -0.14000000000000057,
    "rank_ratio": 0.21518987341772153,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": -679,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.1939412484700185,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 92.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.04651162790697,
    "utr_advantage": -1.2017167381974299,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 1,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.5362345084108053,
    "rank_advantage": -310,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 41.45348837209303,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.4848592411260668,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 81,
    "serve_quality_diff": -13.89683843329253,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.49696969696969695,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.4265605875153,
    "combined_confidence": 0.71,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -9.995826193390457,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5555555555555556,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.399929096096289,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.834194032430765,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -63.68227933121537,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.0576923076923,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.76470588235295,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.15268053855568553,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.1111111111111111,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.780000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.7350000000000001,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2995348837209303,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.568020361990943,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}