Fiona Ferro vs Alycia Parks
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 16
10 Dec 2025, 16:10
10 Dec 2025, 16:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alycia Parks
Fiona …: 45.8%
Alycia …: 54.2%
¿Por qué Alycia Parks?
UTR 11.58 vs 11.72
(-0.14)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Fiona … | Alycia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3.25 | 1.33 | 30.8% |
| Gamdom | 3.05 | 1.30 | 32.8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2.19 | 1.84 | 45.8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Fiona …: +16.7%
Alycia …: -16.7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fiona Ferro
Ranking
#395
UTR Rating
11.58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#206
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
7/9 = 77.8%
Alycia Parks
Ranking
#85
UTR Rating
11.72 Pro
UTR Ranking
#171
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
42/81 = 51.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -310.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.2152 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.5362 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -679.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 41.4535 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11.5680 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.1111 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 92.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51.0465 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68.0577 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51.7647 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 81.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.5556 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -13.8968 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -9.9958 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.1527 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2.1939 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.4849 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4.4266 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4.7800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.4970 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5625 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.3999 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.8342 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -63.6823 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.7350 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.2995 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4376 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.2017 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19302
API ID
15175825
Gamdom ID
501139
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19302,
"api_id": 15175825,
"gamdom_id": 501139,
"player1": "Fiona Ferro",
"player2": "Alycia Parks",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-12-10T16:10:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.25,
"p2": 1.3333333333333333
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.05,
"p2": 1.3
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.29,
"p2": 1.32
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4576,
"prob_p2": 0.5424,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5424,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 395,
"utr_singles": 11.58,
"utr_ranking": 206,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 77.77777777777779,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": 11.72,
"utr_ranking": 171,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
"wr_surface_wins": 42,
"wr_surface_total": 81,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.58,
"ranking": 206,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.72,
"ranking": 171,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4376470588235295,
"utr_diff": -0.14000000000000057,
"rank_ratio": 0.21518987341772153,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": -679,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.1939412484700185,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 92.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.04651162790697,
"utr_advantage": -1.2017167381974299,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.5362345084108053,
"rank_advantage": -310,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 41.45348837209303,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.4848592411260668,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 81,
"serve_quality_diff": -13.89683843329253,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.49696969696969695,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.4265605875153,
"combined_confidence": 0.71,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -9.995826193390457,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5555555555555556,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.399929096096289,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.834194032430765,
"surface_rank_synergy": -63.68227933121537,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.0576923076923,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.76470588235295,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.15268053855568553,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.1111111111111111,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.780000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.7350000000000001,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2995348837209303,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.568020361990943,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}