Cristina Bucsa vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 16
11 Dec 2025, 10:00
11 Dec 2025, 10:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cristina Bucsa
Cristina …: 94.6%
Tiphanie …: 5.4%
¿Por qué Cristina Bucsa?
UTR 12.31 vs 11.20
(+1.11)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Cristina … | Tiphanie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1.06 | 5.60 | 94.3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1.06 | 18.42 | 94.6% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cristina Bucsa
Ranking
#54
UTR Rating
12.31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#37
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
37/73 = 50.7%
Tiphanie Lemaitre
Ranking
#345
UTR Rating
11.20 Pro
UTR Ranking
#372
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
71% (7p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 291.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6.3889 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.8546 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 917.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 278.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 52.1865 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.4221 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 73.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52.1865 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.6494 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 73.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0137 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 48.9249 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 62.6807 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 50.1716 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 56.9420 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 45.6468 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.2665 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9.7650 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8854 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4167 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.2993 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12.5149 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 96.7831 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.2691 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.2090 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 104.3730 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1.1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.3765 | |
| utr_advantage | 9.4428 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19320
API ID
15175826
Gamdom ID
501135
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19320,
"api_id": 15175826,
"gamdom_id": 501135,
"player1": "Cristina Bucsa",
"player2": "Tiphanie Lemaitre",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-12-11T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.06,
"p2": 5.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.09,
"p2": 7.46
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9457,
"prob_p2": 0.0543,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9457,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.31,
"utr_ranking": 37,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.68493150684932,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 73,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 345,
"utr_singles": 11.2,
"utr_ranking": 372,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 37,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 372,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 1.1100000000000012,
"rank_ratio": 6.388888888888889,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 917,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 56.94204545454545,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.18652037617555,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 9.44279030199916,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 278,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.8545603704670854,
"rank_advantage": 291,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4166666666666667,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 52.18652037617555,
"bp_converted_diff": 45.64681818181818,
"p1_surface_matches": 73,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 48.92489028213166,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8854166666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.2665360501567398,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 62.68068181818182,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0136986301369863,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.299325319381396,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.514884862081752,
"surface_rank_synergy": 96.78305256222824,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.649350649350644,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 50.17159090909091,
"surface_matches_ratio": 73.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.765,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 104.3730407523511,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.26913479623824454,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.20899999999999996,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.4220779220779189,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}