Cristina Bucsa vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 16
11 Dec 2025, 10:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cristina Bucsa
Cristina …: 94.6% Tiphanie …: 5.4%
¿Por qué Cristina Bucsa?
UTR 12.31 vs 11.20 (+1.11) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Cristina … Tiphanie … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1.06 5.60 94.3%
IA Fair Odds 1.06 18.42 94.6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cristina Bucsa
Ranking #54
UTR Rating 12.31 Pro
UTR Ranking #37
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 37/73 = 50.7%
Tiphanie Lemaitre
Ranking #345
UTR Rating 11.20 Pro
UTR Ranking #372
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 71% (7p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 291.0000
rank_ratio 6.3889
log_rank_ratio 1.8546
rank_tier_advantage 2.0000
points_diff 917.0000
best_rank_diff 278.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 52.1865
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.4221
surface_matches_ratio 73.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 52.1865
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50.6494
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 73.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0137
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 48.9249
first_serve_won_diff 62.6807
second_serve_won_diff 50.1716
bp_saved_diff 56.9420
bp_converted_diff 45.6468
aces_per_match_diff 1.2665
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 70.0000
momentum_p2 70.0000
momentum_diff 0.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9.7650
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.8854
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4167
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 10.2993
serve_consistency_p2 12.5149
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 96.7831
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.2691
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.2090
elite_surface_amplifier 104.3730
UTR
utr_diff 1.1100
utr_p1 0.5071
utr_p2 0.3765
utr_advantage 9.4428
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19320
API ID 15175826
Gamdom ID 501135
Torneo Limoges, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19320,
    "api_id": 15175826,
    "gamdom_id": 501135,
    "player1": "Cristina Bucsa",
    "player2": "Tiphanie Lemaitre",
    "tournament": "Limoges, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-12-11T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.06,
      "p2": 5.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.09,
      "p2": 7.46
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9457,
    "prob_p2": 0.0543,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9457,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 54,
      "utr_singles": 12.31,
      "utr_ranking": 37,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.68493150684932,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 73,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 345,
      "utr_singles": 11.2,
      "utr_ranking": 372,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 12.31,
      "ranking": 37,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.2,
      "ranking": 372,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.37647058823529406,
    "utr_diff": 1.1100000000000012,
    "rank_ratio": 6.388888888888889,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 917,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 56.94204545454545,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.18652037617555,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 9.44279030199916,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 278,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.8545603704670854,
    "rank_advantage": 291,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4166666666666667,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 52.18652037617555,
    "bp_converted_diff": 45.64681818181818,
    "p1_surface_matches": 73,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 48.92489028213166,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8854166666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.2665360501567398,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 62.68068181818182,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0136986301369863,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.299325319381396,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.514884862081752,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 96.78305256222824,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.649350649350644,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 50.17159090909091,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 73.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.765,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 104.3730407523511,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.26913479623824454,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.20899999999999996,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.4220779220779189,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}