Cristina Bucsa vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 16
11 Dic 2025, 14:30
11 Dic 2025, 14:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cristina Bucsa
Cristina …: 94,6%
Tiphanie …: 5,4%
¿Por qué Cristina Bucsa?
UTR 12,35 vs 11,19
(+1,11)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Cristina … | Tiphanie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,08 | 7,00 | 92,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,04 | 8,20 | 96,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,06 | 18,42 | 94,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Cristina …: +8,0%
Tiphanie …: -8,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cristina Bucsa
Ranking
#52
UTR Rating
12,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#39
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
28/48 = 58,3%
Tiphanie Lemaitre
Ranking
#331
UTR Rating
11,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#397
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
71% (7p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 291,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,3889 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8546 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 917,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 278,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 52,1865 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,4221 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 73,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,1865 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,6494 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 73,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0137 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 48,9249 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 62,6807 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 50,1716 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 56,9420 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 45,6468 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2665 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9,7650 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8854 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4167 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,2993 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,5149 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 96,7831 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2691 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2090 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 104,3730 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3765 | |
| utr_advantage | 9,4428 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19320
API ID
15175826
Gamdom ID
501135
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19320,
"api_id": 15175826,
"gamdom_id": 501135,
"player1": "Cristina Bucsa",
"player2": "Tiphanie Lemaitre",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-12-11T10:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0833333333333333,
"p2": 7.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.04,
"p2": 8.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.05,
"p2": 9.13
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9457,
"prob_p2": 0.0543,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9457,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 52,
"utr_singles": 12.35,
"utr_ranking": 39,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 48,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 331,
"utr_singles": 11.19,
"utr_ranking": 397,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 39,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 397,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.37647058823529406,
"utr_diff": 1.1100000000000012,
"rank_ratio": 6.388888888888889,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 917,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 56.94204545454545,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.18652037617555,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 9.44279030199916,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 278,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.8545603704670854,
"rank_advantage": 291,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4166666666666667,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 52.18652037617555,
"bp_converted_diff": 45.64681818181818,
"p1_surface_matches": 73,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 48.92489028213166,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8854166666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.2665360501567398,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 62.68068181818182,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0136986301369863,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.299325319381396,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.514884862081752,
"surface_rank_synergy": 96.78305256222824,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.649350649350644,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 50.17159090909091,
"surface_matches_ratio": 73.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.765,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 104.3730407523511,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.26913479623824454,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.20899999999999996,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.4220779220779189,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}