Anna Siskova vs Manon Leonard
Limoges, France | Hard | Round of 16
11 Dic 2025, 17:20
11 Dic 2025, 17:20
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Manon Leonard
Anna …: 25,9%
Manon …: 74,2%
¿Por qué Manon Leonard?
UTR 11,67 vs 11,48
(-0,01)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anna … | Manon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,83 | 1,83 | 54,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,89 | 1,81 | 52,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,87 | 1,35 | 25,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anna …: -24,2%
Manon …: +24,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Siskova
Ranking
#260
UTR Rating
11,67 Pro
UTR Ranking
#194
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
0/3 = 0,0%
Manon Leonard
Ranking
#203
UTR Rating
11,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#264
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
2/5 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -92,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6761 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3915 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -131,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -60,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -35,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,1630 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 35,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 32,0726 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3867 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,7373 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,9570 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,7293 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -16,4953 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -20,8100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,2700 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,3150 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,7258 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,2900 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 13,8323 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4080 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2387 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4082 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,0872 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19325
API ID
15175821
Gamdom ID
501136
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19325,
"api_id": 15175821,
"gamdom_id": 501136,
"player1": "Anna Siskova",
"player2": "Manon Leonard",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-12-11T13:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8333333333333335,
"p2": 1.8333333333333335
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.89,
"p2": 1.81
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.92,
"p2": 1.82
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2585,
"prob_p2": 0.7415,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7415,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 260,
"utr_singles": 11.67,
"utr_ranking": 194,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 203,
"utr_singles": 11.48,
"utr_ranking": 264,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.67,
"ranking": 194,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.48,
"ranking": 264,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.40705882352941186,
"utr_p2": 0.40823529411764714,
"utr_diff": -0.009999999999999787,
"rank_ratio": 0.676056338028169,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -131,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -16.495333333333328,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 9.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 35.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": -0.08722197993894275,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -60,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.39147886613342453,
"rank_advantage": -92,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": -35.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": -20.809999999999988,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 8,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.737300000000005,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.27,
"combined_confidence": 0.38666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.957000000000008,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.7257552899862185,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.290030237746548,
"surface_rank_synergy": 13.832253270047666,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.07264957264957,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.66666666666667,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.7293333333333436,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.625,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.315000000000012,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.40800000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2386666666666667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.163019943019947,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}