Anhelina Kalinina vs Alycia Parks
Limoges, France | Hard | Quarterfinals
12 Dic 2025, 14:30
12 Dic 2025, 14:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alycia Parks
Anhelina …: 39,9%
Alycia …: 60,1%
¿Por qué Alycia Parks?
UTR 12,11 vs 11,84
(+0,18)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anhelina … | Alycia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,20 | 61,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,51 | 2,39 | 66,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,51 | 1,66 | 39,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anhelina …: -17,8%
Alycia …: +17,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking
#179
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#77
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
12/21 = 57,1%
Alycia Parks
Ranking
#99
UTR Rating
11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#157
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
21/41 = 51,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -70,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5484 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6008 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -369,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,4215 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,5425 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5062 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,6250 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,0465 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,7647 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 81,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1707 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -15,4096 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,7158 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,8652 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,4286 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,8349 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,8461 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,2000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6818 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4970 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2222 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5625 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,5342 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1636 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,0594 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0038 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0595 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4376 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,5241 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19330
API ID
15175822
Gamdom ID
501134
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19330,
"api_id": 15175822,
"gamdom_id": 501134,
"player1": "Anhelina Kalinina",
"player2": "Alycia Parks",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-12-12T10:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6153846153846154,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.51,
"p2": 2.39
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.41
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3986,
"prob_p2": 0.6014,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6014,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 179,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 77,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 99,
"utr_singles": 11.84,
"utr_ranking": 157,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.21951219512195,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 77,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.84,
"ranking": 157,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4376470588235295,
"utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
"rank_ratio": 0.5483870967741935,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": -369,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.428558751529984,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -8.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.625,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.04651162790697,
"utr_advantage": 1.5241320914479228,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 15,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6007738604289302,
"rank_advantage": -70,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2222222222222222,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.421511627906973,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.834859241126075,
"p1_surface_matches": 41,
"p2_surface_matches": 81,
"serve_quality_diff": -15.409588433292527,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6818181818181818,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.49696969696969695,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.8460605875153,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.715826193390448,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.17073170731707318,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.534181305764233,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.163568341616635,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.059424051344797,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.76470588235295,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.865180538555691,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5061728395061729,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.2000000000000028,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.003750000000000031,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05953488372093019,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.542483660130728,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}