Anhelina Kalinina vs Alycia Parks
Limoges, France | Hard | Quarterfinals
12 Dic 2025, 14:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alycia Parks
Anhelina …: 39,9% Alycia …: 60,1%
¿Por qué Alycia Parks?
UTR 12,11 vs 11,84 (+0,18) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anhelina … Alycia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,20 61,9%
Gamdom 1,51 2,39 66,2%
IA Fair Odds 2,51 1,66 39,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Anhelina …: -17,8% Alycia …: +17,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking #179
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #77
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 12/21 = 57,1%
Alycia Parks
Ranking #99
UTR Rating 11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #157
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 21/41 = 51,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -70,0000
rank_ratio 0,5484
log_rank_ratio -0,6008
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -369,0000
best_rank_diff 15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,4215
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,5425
surface_matches_ratio 0,5062
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,6250
surface_wr_p2 51,0465
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,7647
p1_surface_matches 41,0000
p2_surface_matches 81,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1707
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -15,4096
first_serve_won_diff -6,7158
second_serve_won_diff -7,8652
bp_saved_diff -7,4286
bp_converted_diff 5,8349
aces_per_match_diff -4,8461
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,2000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6818
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4970
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2222
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5625
serve_consistency_p1 5,5342
serve_consistency_p2 6,1636
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,0594
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0038
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0595
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1800
utr_p1 0,4588
utr_p2 0,4376
utr_advantage 1,5241
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19330
API ID 15175822
Gamdom ID 501134
Torneo Limoges, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19330,
    "api_id": 15175822,
    "gamdom_id": 501134,
    "player1": "Anhelina Kalinina",
    "player2": "Alycia Parks",
    "tournament": "Limoges, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-12-12T10:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6153846153846154,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.51,
      "p2": 2.39
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.41
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3986,
    "prob_p2": 0.6014,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6014,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 179,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 77,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 99,
      "utr_singles": 11.84,
      "utr_ranking": 157,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.21951219512195,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.11,
      "ranking": 77,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.84,
      "ranking": 157,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.45882352941176474,
    "utr_p2": 0.4376470588235295,
    "utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5483870967741935,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": -369,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.428558751529984,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.625,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.04651162790697,
    "utr_advantage": 1.5241320914479228,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.6007738604289302,
    "rank_advantage": -70,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2222222222222222,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.421511627906973,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.834859241126075,
    "p1_surface_matches": 41,
    "p2_surface_matches": 81,
    "serve_quality_diff": -15.409588433292527,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6818181818181818,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.49696969696969695,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.8460605875153,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.715826193390448,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.17073170731707318,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.534181305764233,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.163568341616635,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.059424051344797,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.76470588235295,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -7.865180538555691,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5061728395061729,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.2000000000000028,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.003750000000000031,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05953488372093019,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.542483660130728,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}