Alexander Kotzen vs Francisco Perez
UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05 | Hard | Quarterfinals
12 Dic 2025, 00:20
12 Dic 2025, 00:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Kotzen
Alexander …: 80,0%
Francisco …: 20,0%
¿Por qué Alexander Kotzen?
Alexander …
W48-L20
71% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Francisco …
W41-L29
59% WR
vs UTR 4,4
W1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Francisco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,02 | 11,00 | 98,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,00 | 8,33 | 100,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,25 | 5,01 | 80,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -11,5%
Francisco …: +11,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Kotzen
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#517
Forma L5
100% (3p)
Forma L10
100% (3p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Francisco Perez
Ranking
#-
UTR Ranking
#13103 Junior
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alexander Kotzen
Record 2025
48W - 20L (71%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,9
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
W
Francisco Perez
Record 2025
41W - 29L (59%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
4,4
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Alexander Kotzen ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,9 vs 4,4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5,9259 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 5,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 32,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 59,3845 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 68,7550 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 58,6900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 71,6400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 15,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,7000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_diff | 33,3333 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,8779 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,8181 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,3000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 8,7500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6765 | |
| utr_p2 | -0,3529 | |
| utr_advantage | 93,3333 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19341
API ID
15207821
Gamdom ID
521640
Torneo
UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19341,
"api_id": 15207821,
"gamdom_id": 521640,
"player1": "Alexander Kotzen",
"player2": "Francisco Perez",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-12-11T20:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.02,
"p2": 11.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.0,
"p2": 8.33
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.03,
"p2": 14.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8004,
"prob_p2": 0.1996,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8004,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.75,
"utr_ranking": 517,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 48,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 70.58823529411765,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.92,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.98,
"opponent_name": "Lucas Marionneau"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.6,
"opponent_name": "Nikita Filin"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.95,
"opponent_name": "Henry Searle"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.26,
"opponent_name": "Darwin Blanch"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.65,
"opponent_name": "Kriish Tyagi"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:08.793996+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": 13103,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 41,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 58.57142857142858,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 4.4,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 2.0,
"opponent_name": "Nicolas Arroyo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 6.0,
"opponent_name": "Eric Ilut"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 5.0,
"opponent_name": "Joshua Toledano"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 4.0,
"opponent_name": "Matias Martin Pastrana"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 3.0,
"opponent_name": "Gabriel Ortiz"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:25.029362+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.75,
"ranking": 517,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": 13103,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6764705882352942,
"utr_p2": -0.35294117647058826,
"utr_diff": 8.75,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 71.64,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 33.333333333333314,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 19.999999999999996,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 93.33333333333333,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 19.999999999999996,
"bp_converted_diff": 15.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 59.384499999999996,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.7,
"combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 68.755,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.877921594114271,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.818069755989091,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 58.69,
"surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.30000000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.925925925925926,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}