Alexander Kotzen vs Francisco Perez
UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05 | Hard | Quarterfinals
12 Dic 2025, 00:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Kotzen
Alexander …: 80,0% Francisco …: 20,0%
¿Por qué Alexander Kotzen?
Alexander …
W48-L20
71% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Francisco …
W41-L29
59% WR
vs UTR 4,4
W1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Francisco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,02 11,00 98,0%
Gamdom 1,00 8,33 100,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,25 5,01 80,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: -11,5% Francisco …: +11,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Kotzen
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #517
Forma L5 100% (3p)
Forma L10 100% (3p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Francisco Perez
Ranking #-
UTR Ranking #13103 Junior
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alexander Kotzen
Record 2025 48W - 20L (71%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,9
Últimos 5:
L W L L W
Francisco Perez
Record 2025 41W - 29L (59%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 4,4
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Análisis Momentum
Alexander Kotzen ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,9 vs 4,4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 20,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,9259
surface_matches_ratio 5,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 20,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 32,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 5,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3667
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 59,3845
first_serve_won_diff 68,7550
second_serve_won_diff 58,6900
bp_saved_diff 71,6400
bp_converted_diff 15,0000
aces_per_match_diff 3,7000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3333
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 66,6667
momentum_diff 33,3333
weighted_momentum_diff 25,0000
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,8779
serve_consistency_p2 10,8181
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 8,7500
utr_p1 0,6765
utr_p2 -0,3529
utr_advantage 93,3333
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19341
API ID 15207821
Gamdom ID 521640
Torneo UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19341,
    "api_id": 15207821,
    "gamdom_id": 521640,
    "player1": "Alexander Kotzen",
    "player2": "Francisco Perez",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-12-11T20:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 11.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.0,
      "p2": 8.33
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.03,
      "p2": 14.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8004,
    "prob_p2": 0.1996,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8004,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.75,
      "utr_ranking": 517,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 48,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 70.58823529411765,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.92,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.98,
          "opponent_name": "Lucas Marionneau"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.6,
          "opponent_name": "Nikita Filin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.95,
          "opponent_name": "Henry Searle"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.26,
          "opponent_name": "Darwin Blanch"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.65,
          "opponent_name": "Kriish Tyagi"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:08.793996+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": 13103,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 41,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 58.57142857142858,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 4.4,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 2.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nicolas Arroyo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 6.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eric Ilut"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 5.0,
          "opponent_name": "Joshua Toledano"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 4.0,
          "opponent_name": "Matias Martin Pastrana"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 3.0,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriel Ortiz"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:25.029362+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.75,
      "ranking": 517,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": 13103,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6764705882352942,
    "utr_p2": -0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 8.75,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 71.64,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 33.333333333333314,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 19.999999999999996,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 93.33333333333333,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 19.999999999999996,
    "bp_converted_diff": 15.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 59.384499999999996,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.7,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 68.755,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.877921594114271,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.818069755989091,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 58.69,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 25.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.30000000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.925925925925926,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}