Chase Robinson vs Lefteri Apostolou
UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05 | Hard | Quarterfinals
12 Dic 2025, 01:25
12 Dic 2025, 01:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Chase Robinson
Chase …: 61,5%
Lefteri …: 38,5%
¿Por qué Chase Robinson?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,00
(+1,00)
— Ligera ventaja
Chase …
W22-L17
56% WR
vs UTR 11,5
W3
Lefteri …
W16-L21
43% WR
vs UTR 11,4
W1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Chase … | Lefteri … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,39 | 2,50 | 71,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,63 | 2,60 | 61,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Chase …: -3,0%
Lefteri …: +3,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chase Robinson
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#3111
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Lefteri Apostolou
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#5357
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Chase Robinson
Record 2025
22W - 17L (56%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
11,5
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
W
Lefteri Apostolou
Record 2025
16W - 21L (43%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
11,4
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Chase Robinson en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,2222 | |
| momentum_p2 | 44,4444 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,2222 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -16,6667 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,4711 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,9169 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_advantage | 8,6957 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19346
API ID
15207842
Gamdom ID
521654
Torneo
UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19346,
"api_id": 15207842,
"gamdom_id": 521654,
"player1": "Chase Robinson",
"player2": "Lefteri Apostolou",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-12-11T21:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.39,
"p2": 2.5
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.72
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6153,
"prob_p2": 0.3847,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6153,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 3111,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 22,
"utr_v4_losses": 17,
"utr_v4_wr": 56.41025641025641,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.53,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Woohyuk Chang"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.12,
"opponent_name": "Tighe Brunetti"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Gabriele Datei"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.87,
"opponent_name": "Michal Novansky"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Ty Wunderlich"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:47.759559+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 5357,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 16,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 43.24324324324324,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.38,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Joao Portugal"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Santiago Giamichelle"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.11,
"opponent_name": "Alexis Gurmendi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Teodor Cariov"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Mike Wood"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:17.139578+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 3111,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 5357,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_diff": 1.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.222222222222225,
"momentum_p2": 44.44444444444445,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -22.222222222222225,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 8.695652173913043,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.471069280619072,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.916938686150661,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -16.666666666666664,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}