Jose Garcia vs Piotr Siekanowicz
UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05 | Hard | Quarterfinals
12 Dic 2025, 23:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jose Garcia
Jose …: 53,6% Piotr …: 46,5%
¿Por qué Jose Garcia?
UTR 13,00 vs 12,00 (-0,38) — Niveles similares
Jose …
W41-L23
64% WR
vs UTR 12,3
W4
Piotr …
W21-L24
47% WR
vs UTR 12,0
W1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jose … Piotr … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,29 3,50 77,8%
Gamdom 1,23 3,23 81,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,87 2,15 53,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Jose …: -19,6% Piotr …: +19,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jose Garcia
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,00 General
UTR Ranking #1433
Forma L5 100% (3p)
Forma L10 100% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Piotr Siekanowicz
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2651
Forma L5 100% (3p)
Forma L10 100% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Jose Garcia
Record 2025 41W - 23L (64%)
Racha 4W
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
W W W W L
Piotr Siekanowicz
Record 2025 21W - 24L (47%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
W L L W L
Análisis Momentum
Jose Garcia en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 4,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 40,0000
first_serve_won_diff 48,0000
second_serve_won_diff 40,0000
bp_saved_diff 71,4000
bp_converted_diff 66,7000
aces_per_match_diff 2,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,1986
serve_consistency_p2 1,9203
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3800
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,5153
utr_advantage -3,1173
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19348
API ID 15207823
Gamdom ID 521637
Torneo UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19348,
    "api_id": 15207823,
    "gamdom_id": 521637,
    "player1": "Jose Garcia",
    "player2": "Piotr Siekanowicz",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-12-12T19:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2857142857142856,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 3.23
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.27,
      "p2": 3.46
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5355,
    "prob_p2": 0.4645,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5355,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1433,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 41,
      "utr_v4_losses": 23,
      "utr_v4_wr": 64.0625,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.31,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nathan Pitts"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.91,
          "opponent_name": "Nicolas Oliveira"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luca- Julian HOTZE"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.38,
          "opponent_name": "Piotr Siekanowicz"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.02,
          "opponent_name": "Clement Lemire"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:57.638062+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2651,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 21,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 46.666666666666664,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.01,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tyler Lee"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.55,
          "opponent_name": "Ryan Colby"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ethan Muza"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.27,
          "opponent_name": "Mehdi Benchakroun"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jose Garcia"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:13.687702+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.0,
      "ranking": 1433,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2651,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.5152941176470589,
    "utr_diff": -0.3800000000000008,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 71.4,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -3.117309269893361,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 66.7,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 40.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 48.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.198603467617475,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 1.9203397754579843,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 40.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}