Jack Bruce-Smith vs Matthew Dellavedova
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01 | Hard | Semifinals
12 Dic 2025, 03:00
12 Dic 2025, 03:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Matthew Dellavedova
Jack …: 21,4%
Matthew …: 78,6%
¿Por qué Matthew Dellavedova?
UTR 12,39 vs 13,49
(-0,91)
— Niveles similares
Jack …
W55-L35
61% WR
vs UTR 11,6
W1
Matthew …
W43-L35
55% WR
vs UTR 13,4
L2
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jack … | Matthew … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 5,29 | 1,07 | 18,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,66 | 1,27 | 21,4% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jack Bruce-Smith
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1645
Forma L5
100% (4p)
Forma L10
100% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Matthew Dellavedova
Ranking
#437
UTR Rating
13,49 Pro
UTR Ranking
#700
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (6p)
WR Hard
3/9 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Jack Bruce-Smith
Record 2025
55W - 35L (61%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
11,6
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
Matthew Dellavedova
Record 2025
43W - 35L (55%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
13,4
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Matthew Dellavedova ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,4 vs 11,6).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -63,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8740 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1347 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -108,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -166,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -30,8333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 30,8333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -50,5155 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -63,5400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -49,9850 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -49,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -44,4450 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,8750 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2447 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0258 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,1525 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4370 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2547 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,9100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5318 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6388 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,0135 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19353
API ID
15208030
Gamdom ID
521707
Torneo
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19353,
"api_id": 15208030,
"gamdom_id": 521707,
"player1": "Jack Bruce-Smith",
"player2": "Matthew Dellavedova",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-11T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 5.29,
"p2": 1.07
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2144,
"prob_p2": 0.7856,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7856,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.39,
"utr_ranking": 1645,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 55,
"utr_v4_losses": 35,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.111111111111114,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.61,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Jera Staley"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.44,
"opponent_name": "Noah Brownrigg"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Heaton PANN"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.9,
"opponent_name": "Tomislav Edward Papac"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.18,
"opponent_name": "Pavle Marinkov"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:45.208317+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 437,
"utr_singles": 13.49,
"utr_ranking": 700,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 43,
"utr_v4_losses": 35,
"utr_v4_wr": 55.12820512820513,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.37,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.91,
"opponent_name": "Carl Emil Overbeck"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.4,
"opponent_name": "James Duckworth"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.45,
"opponent_name": "Filip Peliwo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.2,
"opponent_name": "Emile Hudd"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.9,
"opponent_name": "Tomislav Edward Papac"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:43.115037+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.39,
"ranking": 1645,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.49,
"ranking": 700,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5317647058823529,
"utr_p2": 0.6388235294117647,
"utr_diff": -0.9100000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 0.874,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -108,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -49.9,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 30.83333333333333,
"utr_advantage": -7.013487475915222,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -166,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1346749033266016,
"rank_advantage": -63,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -30.83333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": -44.44499999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"serve_quality_diff": -50.5155,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.875,
"combined_confidence": 0.5,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -63.540000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.244703728914733,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.0258196643992905,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.152476185903549,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 32.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -49.98499999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.43700000000000006,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.25466666666666665,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}