Matt Hulme vs Marcus Nield
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01 | Hard | Semifinals
12 Dic 2025, 03:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Matt Hulme
Matt …: 62,1% Marcus …: 38,0%
¿Por qué Matt Hulme?
UTR 12,46 vs 11,00 (+1,77) — Ligera ventaja
Matt …
W35-L29
55% WR
vs UTR 12,5
W1
Marcus …
W62-L28
69% WR
vs UTR 10,5
L3
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Matt … Marcus … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,06 5,59 94,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,61 2,64 62,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matt Hulme
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,46 Pro
UTR Ranking #1572
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Marcus Nield
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #5762
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Matt Hulme
Record 2025 35W - 29L (55%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,5
Últimos 5:
W L L L L
Marcus Nield
Record 2025 62W - 28L (69%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 10,5
Últimos 5:
L L L W L
Análisis Momentum
Matt Hulme ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,5 vs 10,5).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2500
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 59,1837
momentum_p2 28,5714
momentum_diff 30,6122
weighted_momentum_diff 22,9592
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,9652
serve_consistency_p2 5,4471
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,7700
utr_p1 0,5612
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 14,8927
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19355
API ID 15208025
Gamdom ID 521702
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19355,
    "api_id": 15208025,
    "gamdom_id": 521702,
    "player1": "Matt Hulme",
    "player2": "Marcus Nield",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-11T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.06,
      "p2": 5.59
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6205,
    "prob_p2": 0.3795,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6205,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.46,
      "utr_ranking": 1572,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 35,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 54.6875,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.52,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tom Neylon"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.64,
          "opponent_name": "Takuya Kumasaka"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.83,
          "opponent_name": "Marc Polmans"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.38,
          "opponent_name": "Hayato Matsuoka"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.06,
          "opponent_name": "Calum Puttergill"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:43.661133+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 5762,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 62,
      "utr_v4_losses": 28,
      "utr_v4_wr": 68.88888888888889,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.5,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.59,
          "opponent_name": "Sam Young-Mathers"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jerome Estephan"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Asher Brownrigg"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oliver Wilcox"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.49,
          "opponent_name": "Ashton McLeod"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:33.152882+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.46,
      "ranking": 1572,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 5762,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5611764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 1.7699999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 59.183673469387756,
    "momentum_p2": 28.571428571428577,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.25,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 30.61224489795918,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 14.892721918384517,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.9651684947514645,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.447092426196651,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 22.959183673469383,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}