Casey Ambler vs Tom Neylon
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01 | Hard | Semifinals
12 Dic 2025, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Casey Ambler
Casey …: 54,5% Tom …: 45,5%
¿Por qué Casey Ambler?
UTR 11,00 vs 11,00 (+0,17) — Niveles similares
Casey …
W17-L16
52% WR
vs UTR 11,0
L1
Tom …
W22-L15
59% WR
vs UTR 10,6
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Casey … Tom … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 2,01 1,62 49,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,83 2,20 54,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Casey Ambler
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #5993
Forma L5 0% (4p)
Forma L10 0% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Tom Neylon
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #7385
Forma L5 0% (4p)
Forma L10 0% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Casey Ambler
Record 2025 17W - 16L (52%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,0
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Tom Neylon
Record 2025 22W - 15L (59%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 10,6
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,9408
serve_consistency_p2 7,1637
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1666
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,3333
utr_advantage 1,5259
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19361
API ID 15208023
Gamdom ID 521701
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19361,
    "api_id": 15208023,
    "gamdom_id": 521701,
    "player1": "Casey Ambler",
    "player2": "Tom Neylon",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-11T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.01,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.545,
    "prob_p2": 0.455,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.545,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 5993,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 17,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 51.515151515151516,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.96,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.79,
          "opponent_name": "Sam Oster"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tim Gray"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Joshua Carter"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Archie Brown"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Michael Caspanello"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:45.538542+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 7385,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 22,
      "utr_v4_losses": 15,
      "utr_v4_wr": 59.45945945945946,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.64,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.77,
          "opponent_name": "Matt Hulme"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Michael Korobitsin"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Hugh Callaghan"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sam Dowler"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Stephen Tomkins"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:51.601080+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 5993,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 7385,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.33334410495124256,
    "utr_diff": 0.1665751079144382,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.5258724523317486,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.940826184911073,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.163660182538281,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}