Lexie Weir vs Kaylah McPhee
UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01 | Hard | Semifinals
11 Dic 2025, 06:45
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kaylah McPhee
Lexie …: 28,2% Kaylah …: 71,8%
¿Por qué Kaylah McPhee?
UTR 9,00 vs 10,31 (-1,23) — Ligera ventaja
Lexie …
W72-L44
62% WR
vs UTR 8,6
L1
Kaylah …
W116-L13
90% WR
vs UTR 9,0
W9
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lexie … Kaylah … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 3,55 1,39 28,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lexie Weir
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #2706
Forma L5 100% (3p)
Forma L10 100% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Kaylah McPhee
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #907
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (6p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Lexie Weir
Record 2025 72W - 44L (62%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 8,6
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Kaylah McPhee
Record 2025 116W - 13L (90%)
Racha 9W
UTR Oponentes 9,0
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Kaylah McPhee en racha: 9 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -18,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,4310
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -12,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 18,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,2182
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,3467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -45,5500
first_serve_won_diff -57,6900
second_serve_won_diff -47,3500
bp_saved_diff -54,8300
bp_converted_diff -38,8200
aces_per_match_diff -1,2500
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,4700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,7390
serve_consistency_p2 6,5146
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3200
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,2300
utr_p1 0,1176
utr_p2 0,2624
utr_advantage -12,7925
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19364
API ID 15208010
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19364,
    "api_id": 15208010,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Lexie Weir",
    "player2": "Kaylah McPhee",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-11T02:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 10.5,
      "p2": 1.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2818,
    "prob_p2": 0.7182,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7182,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2706,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 72,
      "utr_v4_losses": 44,
      "utr_v4_wr": 62.06896551724138,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.56,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Karin HIRAMATSU"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Shanelle Iaconi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Juliana Nicole Singeorzan"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.88,
          "opponent_name": "Olga Bienzobas Fernandez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Arina Babenko"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:18.985084+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.31,
      "utr_ranking": 907,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 116,
      "utr_v4_losses": 13,
      "utr_v4_wr": 89.92248062015504,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 9,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.01,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Chelsea Stergiopoulos"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Chelsea Stergiopoulos"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 6.0,
          "opponent_name": "Emily Reed"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Marta Pozaroszczyk"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 6.0,
          "opponent_name": "Madison Bioletti"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:09.543707+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 2706,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.31,
      "ranking": 907,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.2623529411764706,
    "utr_diff": -1.2300000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -54.83,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 18.0,
    "utr_advantage": -12.792511700468022,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -18.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -38.82,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": -45.55,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.25,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3466666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -57.69,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.739022118412796,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.514573260423931,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.21818181818182,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -47.349999999999994,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.4699999999999989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.32,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.431030303030303,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -12
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}