Cristina Bucsa vs Antonia Ružić
Limoges, France | Hard | Quarterfinals
12 Dic 2025, 16:45
12 Dic 2025, 16:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Antonia Ružić
Cristina …: 48,1%
Antonia …: 51,9%
¿Por qué Antonia Ružić?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Cristina … | Antonia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,61 | 2,17 | 62,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,08 | 1,93 | 48,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Cristina …: -5,6%
Antonia …: +5,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cristina Bucsa
Ranking
#52
UTR Rating
12,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#39
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
28/48 = 58,3%
Antonia Ružić
Ranking
#65
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 19,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3519 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3015 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 185,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,8459 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,3506 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5870 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,1865 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,0325 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,6494 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 73,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0137 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,5693 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,3213 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,8707 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,9187 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,1460 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,7844 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,6100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8854 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4167 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,3598 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,5343 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,7624 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0029 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0993 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5071 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19373
API ID
15175824
Gamdom ID
501133
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19373,
"api_id": 15175824,
"gamdom_id": 501133,
"player1": "Cristina Bucsa",
"player2": "Antonia Ru\u017ei\u0107",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-12-12T12:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.7272727272727273,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.61,
"p2": 2.17
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.59,
"p2": 2.28
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4806,
"prob_p2": 0.5194,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5194,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 52,
"utr_singles": 12.35,
"utr_ranking": 39,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 48,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 65,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.35,
"ranking": 39,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5070588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.5070588235294118,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.3518518518518519,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 185,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.918698598561676,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.18652037617555,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.03245436105476,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 15,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.30147539458411676,
"rank_advantage": 19,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4166666666666667,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.84593398487921,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.146001290798452,
"p1_surface_matches": 73,
"p2_surface_matches": 46,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.5693348699981513,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8854166666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5625,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.7843767287479257,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.321270053475935,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0136986301369863,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.359834447428373,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.534299872972771,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.7624052548041578,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.649350649350644,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.99999999999999,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.870721464134242,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5869565217391304,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.6099999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.002865203761755475,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09932454361054766,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.350649350649348,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}