Cristina Bucsa vs Antonia Ružić
Limoges, France | Hard | Quarterfinals
12 Dic 2025, 16:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Antonia Ružić
Cristina …: 48,1% Antonia …: 51,9%
¿Por qué Antonia Ružić?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Cristina … Antonia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,00 57,9%
Gamdom 1,61 2,17 62,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,08 1,93 48,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Cristina …: -5,6% Antonia …: +5,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cristina Bucsa
Ranking #52
UTR Rating 12,35 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 28/48 = 58,3%
Antonia Ružić
Ranking #65
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/32 = 56,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 19,0000
rank_ratio 1,3519
log_rank_ratio 0,3015
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 185,0000
best_rank_diff 15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,8459
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,3506
surface_matches_ratio 1,5870
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,1865
surface_wr_p2 58,0325
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,6494
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,0000
p1_surface_matches 73,0000
p2_surface_matches 46,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0137
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,5693
first_serve_won_diff 2,3213
second_serve_won_diff -3,8707
bp_saved_diff 2,9187
bp_converted_diff -4,1460
aces_per_match_diff -0,7844
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,6100
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8854
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5625
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4167
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7500
serve_consistency_p1 10,3598
serve_consistency_p2 6,5343
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,7624
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0029
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0993
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5071
utr_p2 0,5071
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19373
API ID 15175824
Gamdom ID 501133
Torneo Limoges, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19373,
    "api_id": 15175824,
    "gamdom_id": 501133,
    "player1": "Cristina Bucsa",
    "player2": "Antonia Ru\u017ei\u0107",
    "tournament": "Limoges, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-12-12T12:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.7272727272727273,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.61,
      "p2": 2.17
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.59,
      "p2": 2.28
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4806,
    "prob_p2": 0.5194,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5194,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 52,
      "utr_singles": 12.35,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 28,
      "wr_surface_total": 48,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 65,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.35,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5070588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.5070588235294118,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3518518518518519,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 185,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.918698598561676,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.18652037617555,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.03245436105476,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.30147539458411676,
    "rank_advantage": 19,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4166666666666667,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -5.84593398487921,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.146001290798452,
    "p1_surface_matches": 73,
    "p2_surface_matches": 46,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.5693348699981513,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8854166666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5625,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.7843767287479257,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.321270053475935,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0136986301369863,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.359834447428373,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.534299872972771,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.7624052548041578,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.649350649350644,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.99999999999999,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.870721464134242,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5869565217391304,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.6099999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.002865203761755475,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09932454361054766,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.350649350649348,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}