Teresa Franco Dias vs Didi Bredberg Canizares
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07 | Hard |
13 Dic 2025, 13:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Didi Bredberg Canizares
Teresa …: 40,6% Didi …: 59,4%
¿Por qué Didi Bredberg Canizares?
UTR 8,07 vs 10,49 (-2,43) — Ventaja clara
Teresa …
W10-L24
29% WR
vs UTR 8,9
L1
Didi …
W32-L20
62% WR
vs UTR 9,5
W5
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Teresa … Didi … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 10,50 1,03 9,5%
Gamdom 7,35 1,00 13,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,46 1,68 40,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Teresa …: +31,7% Didi …: -31,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Teresa Franco Dias
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 8,07 Pro
UTR Ranking #1511
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Didi Bredberg Canizares
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,49 Pro
UTR Ranking #801
Forma L5 100% (2p)
Forma L10 100% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Teresa Franco Dias
Record 2025 10W - 24L (29%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 8,9
Últimos 5:
L W L L L
Didi Bredberg Canizares
Record 2025 32W - 20L (62%)
Racha 5W
UTR Oponentes 9,5
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Didi Bredberg Canizares en racha: 5 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 4,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -1,0000
last3_wr_diff -1,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -100,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -73,5000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 151,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 7,4187
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -2,4300
utr_p1 0,0024
utr_p2 0,2882
utr_advantage -26,3129
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19376
API ID 15210067
Gamdom ID 522673
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19376,
    "api_id": 15210067,
    "gamdom_id": 522673,
    "player1": "Teresa Franco Dias",
    "player2": "Didi Bredberg Canizares",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-13T09:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 10.5,
      "p2": 1.025
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 7.35,
      "p2": 1.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 10.67,
      "p2": 1.03
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4057,
    "prob_p2": 0.5943,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5943,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 8.07,
      "utr_ranking": 1511,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 10,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 29.411764705882355,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.94,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.82,
          "opponent_name": "Madalena Matias"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.39,
          "opponent_name": "Theodora Degelow"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.3,
          "opponent_name": "Carla Tomai"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.49,
          "opponent_name": "Miroslava Medvedeva"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.06,
          "opponent_name": "Angelina Voloshchuk"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:46.060929+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.49,
      "utr_ranking": 801,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 32,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.53846153846154,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 5,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.53,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.14,
          "opponent_name": "Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.19,
          "opponent_name": "Carmen Gallardo Guevara"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.97,
          "opponent_name": "Jade Bornay"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.48,
          "opponent_name": "Kate Mansfield"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.31,
          "opponent_name": "Ann Akasha Ceuca"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:01.960217+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 8.07,
      "ranking": 1511,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.49,
      "ranking": 801,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.002352941176470538,
    "utr_p2": 0.288235294117647,
    "utr_diff": -2.4299999999999997,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -100.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -26.312939902544663,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.418699186991869,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -73.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 151,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}