Teresa Franco Dias vs Sara Gvozdenovic
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07 | Hard |
14 Dic 2025, 02:45
14 Dic 2025, 02:45
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sara Gvozdenovic
Teresa …: 37,0%
Sara …: 63,0%
¿Por qué Sara Gvozdenovic?
UTR 8,07 vs 9,00
(-0,98)
— Niveles similares
Teresa …
W10-L24
29% WR
vs UTR 8,9
L1
Sara …
W50-L55
48% WR
vs UTR 9,3
W1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Teresa … | Sara … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 7,00 | 1,08 | 14,3% |
| Gamdom | 4,85 | 1,07 | 20,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,70 | 1,59 | 37,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Teresa …: +23,6%
Sara …: -23,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Teresa Franco Dias
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
8,07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1511
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Sara Gvozdenovic
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2946
Forma L5
0% (3p)
Forma L10
0% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Teresa Franco Dias
Record 2025
10W - 24L (29%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
8,9
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
L
Sara Gvozdenovic
Record 2025
50W - 55L (48%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
9,3
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Sara Gvozdenovic ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9,3 vs 8,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14,1067 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 151,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,2727 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,9800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,0024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_advantage | -11,5159 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19377
API ID
15210068
Gamdom ID
522672
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19377,
"api_id": 15210068,
"gamdom_id": 522672,
"player1": "Teresa Franco Dias",
"player2": "Sara Gvozdenovic",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Women +H 07",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-13T22:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 7.0,
"p2": 1.0833333333333333
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.85,
"p2": 1.07
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 7.0,
"p2": 1.08
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3701,
"prob_p2": 0.6299,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6299,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 8.07,
"utr_ranking": 1511,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 10,
"utr_v4_losses": 24,
"utr_v4_wr": 29.411764705882355,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.94,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 8.82,
"opponent_name": "Madalena Matias"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.39,
"opponent_name": "Theodora Degelow"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 8.3,
"opponent_name": "Carla Tomai"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 8.49,
"opponent_name": "Miroslava Medvedeva"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.06,
"opponent_name": "Angelina Voloshchuk"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:46.060929+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 2946,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 50,
"utr_v4_losses": 55,
"utr_v4_wr": 47.61904761904761,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.28,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Lucie Brun"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Aleksandra Iankovskaia"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Olga Molchanova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Judith Hernandez Miranda"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Emma Bousquet"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:29.508667+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 8.07,
"ranking": 1511,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 2946,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.002352941176470538,
"utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_diff": -0.9800000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -11.515863689776738,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 1,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.27272727272727,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 151,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.106666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}