Anna Siskova vs Elsa Jacquemot
Limoges, France | Hard | Quarterfinals
12 Dic 2025, 18:00
12 Dic 2025, 18:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elsa Jacquemot
Anna …: 37,8%
Elsa …: 62,2%
¿Por qué Elsa Jacquemot?
UTR 11,67 vs 11,94
(-0,55)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anna … | Elsa … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,75 | 1,25 | 26,7% |
| Gamdom | 3,65 | 1,24 | 27,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,65 | 1,61 | 37,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anna …: +12,8%
Elsa …: -12,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Siskova
Ranking
#260
UTR Rating
11,67 Pro
UTR Ranking
#194
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
0/3 = 0,0%
Elsa Jacquemot
Ranking
#60
UTR Rating
11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/28 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -225,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2077 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,5714 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -802,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -180,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -57,6087 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15,7368 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1111 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,6087 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 32,0726 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,1020 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -14,9856 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -15,1414 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,8252 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -28,3661 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -16,7391 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,9837 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 14,0100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8824 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,0966 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,1781 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 90,5284 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2750 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1489 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4718 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,6868 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19378
API ID
15175817
Gamdom ID
501137
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19378,
"api_id": 15175817,
"gamdom_id": 501137,
"player1": "Anna Siskova",
"player2": "Elsa Jacquemot",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-12-12T14:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.65,
"p2": 1.24
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.94,
"p2": 1.23
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3778,
"prob_p2": 0.6222,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6222,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 260,
"utr_singles": 11.67,
"utr_ranking": 194,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 60,
"utr_singles": 11.94,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.67,
"ranking": 194,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.94,
"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.40705882352941186,
"utr_p2": 0.4717647058823529,
"utr_diff": -0.5499999999999989,
"rank_ratio": 0.20774647887323944,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": -802,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -28.3660606060606,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 17.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.608695652173914,
"utr_advantage": -4.686834256497647,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -180,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.5714367942554865,
"rank_advantage": -225,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": -57.608695652173914,
"bp_converted_diff": -16.739090909090905,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 45,
"serve_quality_diff": -14.985552700922263,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8823529411764706,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.9836627140974965,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -15.141363636363636,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.096641204875918,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.178076616154785,
"surface_rank_synergy": 90.52842401689216,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.07264957264957,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.10204081632652,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.825151515151518,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.1111111111111111,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 14.009999999999991,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.275,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.14891304347826084,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.736750683179253,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}