Anna Siskova vs Elsa Jacquemot
Limoges, France | Hard | Quarterfinals
12 Dic 2025, 18:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Elsa Jacquemot
Anna …: 37,8% Elsa …: 62,2%
¿Por qué Elsa Jacquemot?
UTR 11,67 vs 11,94 (-0,55) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anna … Elsa … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,25 26,7%
Gamdom 3,65 1,24 27,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,65 1,61 37,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Anna …: +12,8% Elsa …: -12,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Siskova
Ranking #260
UTR Rating 11,67 Pro
UTR Ranking #194
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 0/3 = 0,0%
Elsa Jacquemot
Ranking #60
UTR Rating 11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #122
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/28 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -225,0000
rank_ratio 0,2077
log_rank_ratio -1,5714
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -802,0000
best_rank_diff -180,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -57,6087
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,7368
surface_matches_ratio 0,1111
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 57,6087
surface_wr_p1_stable 32,0726
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,1020
p1_surface_matches 5,0000
p2_surface_matches 45,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -14,9856
first_serve_won_diff -15,1414
second_serve_won_diff -4,8252
bp_saved_diff -28,3661
bp_converted_diff -16,7391
aces_per_match_diff -2,9837
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14,0100
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8824
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 5,0966
serve_consistency_p2 3,1781
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 90,5284
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2750
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1489
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5500
utr_p1 0,4071
utr_p2 0,4718
utr_advantage -4,6868
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19378
API ID 15175817
Gamdom ID 501137
Torneo Limoges, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19378,
    "api_id": 15175817,
    "gamdom_id": 501137,
    "player1": "Anna Siskova",
    "player2": "Elsa Jacquemot",
    "tournament": "Limoges, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-12-12T14:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.65,
      "p2": 1.24
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.94,
      "p2": 1.23
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3778,
    "prob_p2": 0.6222,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6222,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 260,
      "utr_singles": 11.67,
      "utr_ranking": 194,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 60,
      "utr_singles": 11.94,
      "utr_ranking": 122,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.67,
      "ranking": 194,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.94,
      "ranking": 122,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.40705882352941186,
    "utr_p2": 0.4717647058823529,
    "utr_diff": -0.5499999999999989,
    "rank_ratio": 0.20774647887323944,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": -802,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -28.3660606060606,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 17.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.608695652173914,
    "utr_advantage": -4.686834256497647,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -180,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.5714367942554865,
    "rank_advantage": -225,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -57.608695652173914,
    "bp_converted_diff": -16.739090909090905,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 45,
    "serve_quality_diff": -14.985552700922263,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8823529411764706,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.9836627140974965,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -15.141363636363636,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.096641204875918,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.178076616154785,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 90.52842401689216,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.07264957264957,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.10204081632652,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.825151515151518,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.1111111111111111,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 14.009999999999991,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.275,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.14891304347826084,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.736750683179253,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}