Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Limoges, France | Hard | Quarterfinals
12 Dic 2025, 20:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Anna-Lena …: 55,0% Tiantsoa …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Anna-Lena Friedsam?
UTR 11,70 vs 11,50 (+0,20) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anna-Lena … Tiantsoa … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,6%
Gamdom 1,42 2,65 70,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,22 55,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Anna-Lena …: -3,9% Tiantsoa …: +3,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Ranking #156
UTR Rating 11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking #186
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 9/16 = 56,3%
Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Ranking #118
UTR Rating 11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #258
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 4/11 = 36,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -47,0000
rank_ratio 0,7235
log_rank_ratio -0,3236
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -197,0000
best_rank_diff 77,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 21,7857
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5,1733
surface_matches_ratio 2,1111
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 39,2857
surface_wr_p2 17,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 39,1304
surface_wr_p2_stable 29,3077
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2632
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,5267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,8427
first_serve_won_diff 6,4424
second_serve_won_diff 13,4883
bp_saved_diff 16,4255
bp_converted_diff 4,3058
aces_per_match_diff 1,7875
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 12,1050
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,5271
serve_consistency_p2 8,8332
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -7,0502
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0601
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3720
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2000
utr_p1 0,4329
utr_p2 0,4094
utr_advantage 1,7271
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19380
API ID 15175820
Gamdom ID 501132
Torneo Limoges, France
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19380,
    "api_id": 15175820,
    "gamdom_id": 501132,
    "player1": "Anna-Lena Friedsam",
    "player2": "Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah",
    "tournament": "Limoges, France",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-12-12T16:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5714285714285714,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.45,
      "p2": 2.66
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5496,
    "prob_p2": 0.4504,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5496,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 156,
      "utr_singles": 11.7,
      "utr_ranking": 186,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 118,
      "utr_singles": 11.5,
      "utr_ranking": 258,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 36.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.7,
      "ranking": 186,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.5,
      "ranking": 258,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4329411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.4094117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.1999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7235294117647059,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": -197,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 16.42553571428573,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 39.285714285714285,
    "surface_wr_p2": 17.5,
    "utr_advantage": 1.7271157167530162,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 77,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.3236140816778443,
    "rank_advantage": -47,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 21.785714285714285,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.305833333333332,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.842720238095232,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.7874999999999996,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5266666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.44244047619047,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2631578947368421,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.527135595791963,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.833178194288283,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -7.050163922267322,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 39.130434782608695,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 29.307692307692307,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 13.488333333333344,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.111111111111111,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 12.105000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06014285714285711,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.37200000000000005,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.173311036789298,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}