Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Limoges, France | Hard | Quarterfinals
12 Dic 2025, 20:10
12 Dic 2025, 20:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Anna-Lena …: 55,0%
Tiantsoa …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Anna-Lena Friedsam?
UTR 11,70 vs 11,50
(+0,20)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anna-Lena … | Tiantsoa … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,42 | 2,65 | 70,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,82 | 2,22 | 55,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anna-Lena …: -3,9%
Tiantsoa …: +3,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Ranking
#156
UTR Rating
11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking
#186
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
9/16 = 56,3%
Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Ranking
#118
UTR Rating
11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#258
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
4/11 = 36,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -47,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7235 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3236 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -197,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 77,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 21,7857 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,1733 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,1111 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 39,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 17,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 39,1304 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 29,3077 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,8427 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,4424 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 13,4883 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 16,4255 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,3058 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,7875 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12,1050 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,5271 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,8332 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -7,0502 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0601 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3720 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4094 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,7271 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19380
API ID
15175820
Gamdom ID
501132
Torneo
Limoges, France
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19380,
"api_id": 15175820,
"gamdom_id": 501132,
"player1": "Anna-Lena Friedsam",
"player2": "Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah",
"tournament": "Limoges, France",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-12-12T16:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5714285714285714,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.45,
"p2": 2.66
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5496,
"prob_p2": 0.4504,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5496,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 156,
"utr_singles": 11.7,
"utr_ranking": 186,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 118,
"utr_singles": 11.5,
"utr_ranking": 258,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 36.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.7,
"ranking": 186,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.5,
"ranking": 258,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4329411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.4094117647058824,
"utr_diff": 0.1999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 0.7235294117647059,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": -197,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 16.42553571428573,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 39.285714285714285,
"surface_wr_p2": 17.5,
"utr_advantage": 1.7271157167530162,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 77,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.3236140816778443,
"rank_advantage": -47,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 21.785714285714285,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.305833333333332,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.842720238095232,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.7874999999999996,
"combined_confidence": 0.5266666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.44244047619047,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2631578947368421,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.527135595791963,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.833178194288283,
"surface_rank_synergy": -7.050163922267322,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 39.130434782608695,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 29.307692307692307,
"second_serve_won_diff": 13.488333333333344,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.111111111111111,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.105000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06014285714285711,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.37200000000000005,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.173311036789298,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}