Heidi Bulger vs Ailen Crespo Azconzabal
UTR PTT Boca Raton Women 10 | Hard | Semifinals
12 Dic 2025, 20:00
12 Dic 2025, 20:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ailen Crespo Azconzabal
Heidi …: 37,8%
Ailen …: 62,2%
¿Por qué Ailen Crespo Azconzabal?
UTR 9,00 vs 9,00
(-1,00)
— Ligera ventaja
Heidi …
W29-L15
66% WR
vs UTR 8,6
W1
Ailen …
W7-L2
78% WR
vs UTR 8,7
L3
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Heidi … | Ailen … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,73 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,72 | 1,81 | 58,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,65 | 1,61 | 37,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Heidi …: -8,6%
Ailen …: +8,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Heidi Bulger
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1852
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Ailen Crespo Azconzabal
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2097
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Heidi Bulger
Record 2025
29W - 15L (66%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
8,6
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
W
W
Ailen Crespo Azconzabal
Record 2025
7W - 2L (78%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
8,7
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 61,2245 | |
| momentum_p2 | 51,0204 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,2041 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,6531 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,8127 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 21,3446 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2353 | |
| utr_advantage | -10,5263 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19383
API ID
15211466
Gamdom ID
523311
Torneo
UTR PTT Boca Raton Women 10
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19383,
"api_id": 15211466,
"gamdom_id": 523311,
"player1": "Heidi Bulger",
"player2": "Ailen Crespo Azconzabal",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Boca Raton Women 10",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-12-12T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.72,
"p2": 1.81
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.81,
"p2": 1.88
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3778,
"prob_p2": 0.6222,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6222,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 1852,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 29,
"utr_v4_losses": 15,
"utr_v4_wr": 65.9090909090909,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.6,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.19,
"opponent_name": "Margaret Sohns"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.78,
"opponent_name": "Ruien Zhang"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.61,
"opponent_name": "Mia Slama"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Valeria Isabel Teran Bastidas"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Aliz\u00e9e Poulin"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:36.666422+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 2097,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 7,
"utr_v4_losses": 2,
"utr_v4_wr": 77.77777777777779,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.7,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Alexia Patru"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Katrin P\u00e1vkov\u00e1"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Valerie Shue"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Reese Frank"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Vanessa Kruse"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:03.226740+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 1852,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 2097,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
"utr_diff": -1.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 61.22448979591838,
"momentum_p2": 51.02040816326531,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 10.204081632653072,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -10.526315789473683,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.8126611487747426,
"serve_consistency_p2": 21.344567714425075,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.653061224489804,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}