Aleksa Ciric vs Benjamin Sparks
UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05 | Hard | Semifinals
13 Dic 2025, 22:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aleksa Ciric
Aleksa …: 66,5% Benjamin …: 33,5%
¿Por qué Aleksa Ciric?
UTR 13,23 vs 12,00 (+1,21) — Ligera ventaja
Aleksa …
W113-L25
82% WR
vs UTR 12,2
W9
Benjamin …
W18-L12
60% WR
vs UTR 11,8
L2
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aleksa … Benjamin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,17 4,50 85,7%
Gamdom 1,12 4,36 89,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,50 2,98 66,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Aleksa …: -12,9% Benjamin …: +12,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aleksa Ciric
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,23 Pro
UTR Ranking #895
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 71% (7p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Benjamin Sparks
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2202
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Aleksa Ciric
Record 2025 113W - 25L (82%)
Racha 9W
UTR Oponentes 12,2
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Benjamin Sparks
Record 2025 18W - 12L (60%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 11,8
Últimos 5:
L L W L L
Análisis Momentum
Aleksa Ciric viene en racha ganadora (9W) mientras Benjamin Sparks perdió 2 seguidos.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1500
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 91,8367
momentum_diff -13,8367
weighted_momentum_diff -10,3776
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 7,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,7676
serve_consistency_p2 2,6879
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,2100
utr_p1 0,6129
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage 9,5994
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19391
API ID 15211496
Gamdom ID 523318
Torneo UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19391,
    "api_id": 15211496,
    "gamdom_id": 523318,
    "player1": "Aleksa Ciric",
    "player2": "Benjamin Sparks",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-13T18:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1666666666666667,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.12,
      "p2": 4.36
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 4.27
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6649,
    "prob_p2": 0.3351,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6649,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.23,
      "utr_ranking": 895,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 113,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 81.88405797101449,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 9,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.21,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Antreas Djakouris"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alessandro Ventre"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.53,
          "opponent_name": "Kyle Overmyer"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Dylan Waldorf Martin"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alexander Aney"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:06.205408+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2202,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 18,
      "utr_v4_losses": 12,
      "utr_v4_wr": 60.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.8,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.77,
          "opponent_name": "Nicolas Ian Kotzen"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.34,
          "opponent_name": "Roan Jones"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Elias Shokry"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Richard Biagiotti"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.64,
          "opponent_name": "Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:36.840800+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.23,
      "ranking": 895,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2202,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6129411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 1.2100000000000009,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 91.83673469387755,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.15000000000000002,
    "match_load_p1": 7,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -13.83673469387756,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 9.599365331217777,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.767647492090775,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.6878971996874115,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -10.377551020408163,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}