Fons van Sambeek vs Dominik Palan
UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01 | Hard | Semifinals
13 Dic 2025, 06:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Dominik Palan
Fons …: 43,5% Dominik …: 56,5%
¿Por qué Dominik Palan?
UTR 12,99 vs 13,19 (-0,48) — Niveles similares
Fons …
W36-L24
60% WR
vs UTR 12,4
W2
Dominik …
W29-L25
54% WR
vs UTR 13,0
W2
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Fons … Dominik … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,62 45,5%
Gamdom 2,11 1,54 47,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,30 1,77 43,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Fons …: +1,1% Dominik …: -1,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fons van Sambeek
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #1104
Forma L5 100% (4p)
Forma L10 100% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Dominik Palan
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #930
Forma L5 100% (4p)
Forma L10 100% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Fons van Sambeek
Record 2025 36W - 24L (60%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 12,4
Últimos 5:
W W L L W
Dominik Palan
Record 2025 29W - 25L (54%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 13,0
Últimos 5:
W W L L W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,7828
serve_consistency_p2 5,3735
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4800
utr_p1 0,5800
utr_p2 0,6365
utr_advantage -3,6446
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19399
API ID 15213240
Gamdom ID 523936
Torneo UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19399,
    "api_id": 15213240,
    "gamdom_id": 523936,
    "player1": "Fons van Sambeek",
    "player2": "Dominik Palan",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-13T02:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.6153846153846154
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.11,
      "p2": 1.54
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.18,
      "p2": 1.61
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4346,
    "prob_p2": 0.5654,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5654,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.99,
      "utr_ranking": 1104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 36,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 60.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.41,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Minhthien Nguyen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ehad Dina"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Elijah Sanogo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.2,
          "opponent_name": "M Rifqi Fitriadi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Junzhang Fu"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:23.830996+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.19,
      "utr_ranking": 930,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 53.70370370370371,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.98,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.79,
          "opponent_name": "Noah Thurner"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.45,
          "opponent_name": "Matas Vasiliauskas"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.45,
          "opponent_name": "Karol Filar"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.69,
          "opponent_name": "Zach Stephens"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.61,
          "opponent_name": "Leonardo Borrelli"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:04.216774+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.99,
      "ranking": 1104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.19,
      "ranking": 930,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.6364705882352941,
    "utr_diff": -0.4800000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -3.6446469248291606,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.782833644145905,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.373542297363082,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}