Leonardo Borrelli vs Parth Aggarwal
UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01 | Hard | Semifinals
13 Dic 2025, 06:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Leonardo Borrelli
Leonardo …: 57,6% Parth …: 42,4%
¿Por qué Leonardo Borrelli?
UTR 12,31 vs 11,93 (+0,85) — Niveles similares
Leonardo …
W24-L22
52% WR
vs UTR 12,1
W1
Parth …
W19-L27
41% WR
vs UTR 11,8
L4
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Leonardo … Parth … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,22 4,00 81,8%
Gamdom 1,37 2,60 73,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,74 2,36 57,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Leonardo …: -19,0% Parth …: +19,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leonardo Borrelli
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #1710
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Parth Aggarwal
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,93 Pro
UTR Ranking #1965
Forma L5 25% (4p)
Forma L10 25% (4p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Leonardo Borrelli
Record 2025 24W - 22L (52%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,1
Últimos 5:
W L L W L
Parth Aggarwal
Record 2025 19W - 27L (41%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 11,8
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Análisis Momentum
Leonardo Borrelli ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,1 vs 11,8).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,5778
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 6,6667
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,3133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -38,5710
first_serve_won_diff -51,6300
second_serve_won_diff -42,5200
bp_saved_diff -67,5000
bp_converted_diff -77,5000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2500
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 61,2245
momentum_p2 40,8163
momentum_diff 20,4082
weighted_momentum_diff 15,3061
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 25,8524
serve_consistency_p2 8,0304
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,8500
utr_p1 0,5424
utr_p2 0,4424
utr_advantage 6,9758
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19403
API ID 15213255
Gamdom ID 523943
Torneo UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19403,
    "api_id": 15213255,
    "gamdom_id": 523943,
    "player1": "Leonardo Borrelli",
    "player2": "Parth Aggarwal",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Phan Thiet Men +H 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-13T02:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2222222222222223,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.37,
      "p2": 2.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.43,
      "p2": 2.62
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5759,
    "prob_p2": 0.4241,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5759,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.31,
      "utr_ranking": 1710,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 24,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 52.17391304347826,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.05,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luke Cripps"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sacha Grandvincent"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.41,
          "opponent_name": "Dominik Palan"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.55,
          "opponent_name": "Lawrence Bataljin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.88,
          "opponent_name": "Sergio Callejon Hernando"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:17.739611+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.93,
      "utr_ranking": 1965,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 19,
      "utr_v4_losses": 27,
      "utr_v4_wr": 41.30434782608695,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.84,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.63,
          "opponent_name": "Grigoriy Lomakin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.04,
          "opponent_name": "Jim Hendrikx"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.39,
          "opponent_name": "Alexey Aleshchev"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Raffael Gasanov"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Priyanshu Choudhary"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:08.494961+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.31,
      "ranking": 1710,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.93,
      "ranking": 1965,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5423529411764705,
    "utr_p2": 0.44235294117647056,
    "utr_diff": 0.8499999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 61.22448979591838,
    "momentum_p2": 40.816326530612244,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -67.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.25,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 20.408163265306136,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "utr_advantage": 6.975789905621664,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -77.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": -38.571,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -51.629999999999995,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 25.85235556880781,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.030356655306461,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 6.666666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -42.519999999999996,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.306122448979593,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.57777777777778,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}