Valentina Ivanov vs Kaylah McPhee
UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01 | Hard | Final
13 Dic 2025, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kaylah McPhee
Valentina …: 46,0% Kaylah …: 54,0%
¿Por qué Kaylah McPhee?
UTR 10,48 vs 10,31 (+0,22) — Niveles similares
Valentina …
W32-L23
58% WR
vs UTR 10,1
W1
Kaylah …
W116-L13
90% WR
vs UTR 9,0
W9
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (38%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Valentina … Kaylah … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,53 42,1%
Gamdom 2,11 1,49 47,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,17 1,85 46,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Valentina …: +6,8% Kaylah …: -6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Valentina Ivanov
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #795
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 83% (6p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Kaylah McPhee
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #907
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (6p)
WR Hard 0/2 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Valentina Ivanov
Record 2025 32W - 23L (58%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 10,1
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Kaylah McPhee
Record 2025 116W - 13L (90%)
Racha 9W
UTR Oponentes 9,0
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Kaylah McPhee en racha: 9 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -18,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,9207
surface_matches_ratio 0,7143
surface_tournaments_won_diff -12,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 18,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 11,1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,2182
p1_surface_matches 5,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3667
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,3800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,4583
first_serve_won_diff 4,1875
second_serve_won_diff 16,7150
bp_saved_diff -30,9300
bp_converted_diff 10,9175
aces_per_match_diff -0,3250
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,4700
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,5454
serve_consistency_p2 6,5146
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3200
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2200
utr_p1 0,2882
utr_p2 0,2624
utr_advantage 2,1277
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19408
API ID 15212278
Gamdom ID 523454
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19408,
    "api_id": 15212278,
    "gamdom_id": 523454,
    "player1": "Valentina Ivanov",
    "player2": "Kaylah McPhee",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-12-12T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.375,
      "p2": 1.5333333333333332
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.11,
      "p2": 1.49
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4604,
    "prob_p2": 0.5396,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5396,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.48,
      "utr_ranking": 795,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 32,
      "utr_v4_losses": 23,
      "utr_v4_wr": 58.18181818181818,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.06,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.11,
          "opponent_name": "Jelena Cvijanovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.86,
          "opponent_name": "Yuliia Starodubtseva"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Christina Dodaj"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.96,
          "opponent_name": "Nagi Hanatani"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.39,
          "opponent_name": "Gaeul Jang"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:54.001184+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.31,
      "utr_ranking": 907,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 116,
      "utr_v4_losses": 13,
      "utr_v4_wr": 89.92248062015504,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 9,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.01,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Chelsea Stergiopoulos"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Chelsea Stergiopoulos"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 6.0,
          "opponent_name": "Emily Reed"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Marta Pozaroszczyk"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 6.0,
          "opponent_name": "Madison Bioletti"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:09.543707+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.48,
      "ranking": 795,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.31,
      "ranking": 907,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.288235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.2623529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.21999999999999886,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -30.93,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 18.0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.1276595744680744,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -18.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.917499999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.45825,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.32500000000000007,
    "combined_confidence": 0.38,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.1875,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.545413555490908,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.514573260423931,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 11.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.21818181818182,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 16.715000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7142857142857143,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.4699999999999989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.32,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.92068686868687,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -12
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}