Valentina Ivanov vs Kaylah McPhee
UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01 | Hard | Final
13 Dic 2025, 03:00
13 Dic 2025, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kaylah McPhee
Valentina …: 46,0%
Kaylah …: 54,0%
¿Por qué Kaylah McPhee?
UTR 10,48 vs 10,31
(+0,22)
— Niveles similares
Valentina …
W32-L23
58% WR
vs UTR 10,1
W1
Kaylah …
W116-L13
90% WR
vs UTR 9,0
W9
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (38%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Valentina … | Kaylah … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,53 | 42,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,11 | 1,49 | 47,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,17 | 1,85 | 46,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Valentina …: +6,8%
Kaylah …: -6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Valentina Ivanov
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#795
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
83% (6p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Kaylah McPhee
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#907
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (6p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Valentina Ivanov
Record 2025
32W - 23L (58%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
10,1
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
W
Kaylah McPhee
Record 2025
116W - 13L (90%)
Racha
9W
UTR Oponentes
9,0
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Kaylah McPhee en racha: 9 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -18,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,9207 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7143 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -12,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 18,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 11,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37,2182 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,4583 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,1875 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 16,7150 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -30,9300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,9175 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,3250 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,4700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,5454 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,5146 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3200 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2624 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,1277 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
19408
API ID
15212278
Gamdom ID
523454
Torneo
UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 19408,
"api_id": 15212278,
"gamdom_id": 523454,
"player1": "Valentina Ivanov",
"player2": "Kaylah McPhee",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Women 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-12-12T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.375,
"p2": 1.5333333333333332
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.11,
"p2": 1.49
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4604,
"prob_p2": 0.5396,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5396,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.48,
"utr_ranking": 795,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 32,
"utr_v4_losses": 23,
"utr_v4_wr": 58.18181818181818,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.06,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.11,
"opponent_name": "Jelena Cvijanovic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.86,
"opponent_name": "Yuliia Starodubtseva"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Christina Dodaj"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.96,
"opponent_name": "Nagi Hanatani"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.39,
"opponent_name": "Gaeul Jang"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:54.001184+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.31,
"utr_ranking": 907,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 116,
"utr_v4_losses": 13,
"utr_v4_wr": 89.92248062015504,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 9,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.01,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Chelsea Stergiopoulos"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Chelsea Stergiopoulos"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 6.0,
"opponent_name": "Emily Reed"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 7.0,
"opponent_name": "Marta Pozaroszczyk"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 6.0,
"opponent_name": "Madison Bioletti"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:09.543707+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.48,
"ranking": 795,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.31,
"ranking": 907,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.288235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.2623529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.21999999999999886,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -30.93,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 18.0,
"utr_advantage": 2.1276595744680744,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -18.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.917499999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.45825,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.32500000000000007,
"combined_confidence": 0.38,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.1875,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.545413555490908,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.514573260423931,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 11.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.21818181818182,
"second_serve_won_diff": 16.715000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7142857142857143,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.4699999999999989,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.32,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.92068686868687,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -12
},
"feature_importance": {}
}