Chase Robinson vs Nathan Pitts
UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05 | Hard | Semifinals
14 Dic 2025, 01:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Chase Robinson
Chase …: 53,2% Nathan …: 46,8%
¿Por qué Chase Robinson?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00 — Niveles similares
Chase …
W22-L17
56% WR
vs UTR 11,5
W3
Nathan …
W16-L20
44% WR
vs UTR 11,9
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Chase … Nathan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,53 42,1%
Gamdom 2,25 1,49 44,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,88 2,14 53,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Chase …: +14,0% Nathan …: -14,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chase Robinson
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3111
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Nathan Pitts
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2700
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Chase Robinson
Record 2025 22W - 17L (56%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 11,5
Últimos 5:
W W W L W
Nathan Pitts
Record 2025 16W - 20L (44%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,9
Últimos 5:
L W L W L
Análisis Momentum
Chase Robinson en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 48,9796
momentum_p2 61,2245
momentum_diff -12,2449
weighted_momentum_diff -9,1837
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,6878
serve_consistency_p2 10,1003
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,4706
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19427
API ID 15211764
Gamdom ID 523342
Torneo UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19427,
    "api_id": 15211764,
    "gamdom_id": 523342,
    "player1": "Chase Robinson",
    "player2": "Nathan Pitts",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Knoxville Men 05",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-12-13T21:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.375,
      "p2": 1.5333333333333332
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.25,
      "p2": 1.49
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.4
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5323,
    "prob_p2": 0.4677,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5323,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3111,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 22,
      "utr_v4_losses": 17,
      "utr_v4_wr": 56.41025641025641,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.53,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Woohyuk Chang"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.12,
          "opponent_name": "Tighe Brunetti"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriele Datei"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.87,
          "opponent_name": "Michal Novansky"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ty Wunderlich"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:47.759559+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2700,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 16,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 44.44444444444444,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.88,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jose Garcia"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.15,
          "opponent_name": "Manuel Plunger"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.99,
          "opponent_name": "Younes Lalami Laaroussi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.8,
          "opponent_name": "Boris Kozlov"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.24,
          "opponent_name": "Noa Vukadin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:56.722649+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3111,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2700,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.9795918367347,
    "momentum_p2": 61.22448979591838,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -12.244897959183682,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.687833600676028,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.100325357470652,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -9.183673469387756,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}