Dimitri Bagaric vs Li Tu
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02 | Hard |
14 Dic 2025, 05:50
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Li Tu
Dimitri …: 11,5% Li …: 88,5%
¿Por qué Li Tu?
UTR 11,00 vs 14,22 (-1,94) — Ligera ventaja
Dimitri …
W10-L4
71% WR
vs UTR 10,6
W1
Li …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dimitri … Li … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 8,71 1,13 11,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dimitri Bagaric
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 Junior
UTR Ranking #1031
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Li Tu
Ranking #394
UTR Rating 14,22 Pro
UTR Ranking #276
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 9/23 = 39,1%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Dimitri Bagaric
Record 2025 10W - 4L (71%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 10,6
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Li Tu
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -166,0000
rank_ratio 0,6680
log_rank_ratio -0,4035
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -152,0000
best_rank_diff -340,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -44,8332
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,9286
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 44,8332
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,4286
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 66,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -62,8239
first_serve_won_diff -70,2500
second_serve_won_diff -51,5100
bp_saved_diff -60,5800
bp_converted_diff -34,0900
aces_per_match_diff -6,1230
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -24,2260
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 129,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5797
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4545
serve_consistency_p1 12,0668
serve_consistency_p2 5,8420
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 18,0887
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3340
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2177
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,9400
utr_p1 0,5153
utr_p2 0,7435
utr_advantage -14,5314
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 19431
API ID 15213509
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 19431,
    "api_id": 15213509,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Dimitri Bagaric",
    "player2": "Li Tu",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-14T01:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1148,
    "prob_p2": 0.8852,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8852,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1031,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 10,
      "utr_v4_losses": 4,
      "utr_v4_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.56,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Corey GAAL"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vincent Stouff"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Keizo Yoshii"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Liam Kindler"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jack Bassett"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:02.706445+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 394,
      "utr_singles": 14.22,
      "utr_ranking": 276,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 39.130434782608695,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 1031,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.22,
      "ranking": 276,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5152998472463096,
    "utr_p2": 0.7435294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -1.9399512984063687,
    "rank_ratio": 0.668,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": -152,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -60.58,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -22.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.833164812942364,
    "utr_advantage": -14.531443894262111,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": -340,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.40346710544549125,
    "rank_advantage": -166,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": -44.833164812942364,
    "bp_converted_diff": -34.089999999999996,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 66,
    "serve_quality_diff": -62.82390495449949,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5797101449275363,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -6.122952477249747,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -70.24999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.06684161057412,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.842017053811314,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 18.088707235038505,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -51.510000000000005,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -24.226,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 129,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.33399999999999996,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.21766835187057637,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.9285714285714253,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}